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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
776
Shake Shack
SHAK
$2.48B
| – | – |
-10,700
| Closed | -$1.5M |
|
777
Shell
SHEL
$240B
| – | – |
-7,400
| Closed | -$521K |
|
778
Shoals Technologies Group
SHLS
$1.54B
| – | – |
-27,400
| Closed | -$116K |
|
779
Sherwin-Williams
SHW
$80.6B
| – | – |
-4,605
| Closed | -$1.58M |
|
|
SKX
780
DELISTED
Skechers
SKX
| – | – |
-24,910
| Closed | -$1.57M |
|
781
Sun Life Financial
SLF
$46B
| – | – |
-3,630
| Closed | -$241K |
|
782
SM Energy
SM
$7.39B
| – | – |
-11,484
| Closed | -$284K |
|
783
Simply Good Foods
SMPL
$935M
| – | – |
-7,500
| Closed | -$237K |
|
784
Snap
SNAP
$7.64B
| – | – |
-42,600
| Closed | -$370K |
|
785
TD Synnex
SNX
$19.5B
| – | – |
-14,138
| Closed | -$1.92M |
|
786
Southern Company
SO
$109B
| – | – |
-27,300
| Closed | -$2.51M |
|
787
Steris
STE
$21.3B
| – | – |
-1,824
| Closed | -$438K |
|
|
STKL
788
DELISTED
SunOpta
STKL
| – | – |
-28,099
| Closed | -$163K |
|
789
Steel Dynamics
STLD
$35.9B
| – | – |
-6,952
| Closed | -$890K |
|
790
Constellation Brands
STZ
$22.2B
| – | – |
-9,300
| Closed | -$1.51M |
|
791
Suncor Energy
SU
$75.7B
| – | – |
-6,489
| Closed | -$243K |
|
792
Symbotic
SYM
$5.26B
| – | – |
-13,453
| Closed | -$523K |
|
793
ThredUp
TDUP
$763M
| – | – |
-51,000
| Closed | -$382K |
|
794
Bio-Techne
TECH
$11.2B
| – | – |
-23,617
| Closed | -$1.22M |
|
795
Tenet Healthcare
THC
$21.2B
| – | – |
-1,300
| Closed | -$229K |
|
796
Interface
TILE
$1.94B
| – | – |
-10,018
| Closed | -$210K |
|
797
Teekay
TK
$973M
| – | – |
-11,045
| Closed | -$91.1K |
|
798
T-Mobile US
TMUS
$192B
| – | – |
-1,100
| Closed | -$262K |
|
799
Tandem Diabetes Care
TNDM
$1.15B
| – | – |
-28,400
| Closed | -$529K |
|
800
Toll Brothers
TOL
$14.1B
| – | – |
-4,695
| Closed | -$536K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.