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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
726
Quanex
NX
$863M
| – | – |
-10,500
| Closed | -$198K |
|
727
Nextpower Inc
NXT
$15.7B
| – | – |
-43,700
| Closed | -$2.38M |
|
|
ADAM
728
Adamas Trust
ADAM
$783M
| – | – |
-10,099
| Closed | -$67.7K |
|
729
Realty Income
O
$61.1B
| – | – |
-3,682
| Closed | -$212K |
|
730
Olin
OLN
$2.49B
| – | – |
-10,800
| Closed | -$217K |
|
731
Omnicom Group
OMC
$23.5B
| – | – |
-4,900
| Closed | -$353K |
|
|
732
Oracle
ORCL
$345B
| – | – |
-47,000
| Closed | -$10.3M |
|
733
Oscar Health
OSCR
$8.54B
| – | – |
-64,000
| Closed | -$1.37M |
|
734
OneSpaWorld
OSW
$2.76B
| – | – |
-19,531
| Closed | -$398K |
|
735
Ovintiv
OVV
$16.6B
| – | – |
-31,400
| Closed | -$1.19M |
|
736
UiPath
PATH
$6.02B
| – | – |
-144,500
| Closed | -$1.85M |
|
737
Paymentus
PAY
$3.96B
| – | – |
-6,900
| Closed | -$226K |
|
738
PBF Energy
PBF
$7.43B
| – | – |
-26,100
| Closed | -$566K |
|
739
PG&E
PCG
$47.2B
| – | – |
-136,000
| Closed | -$1.9M |
|
740
PureCycle Technologies
PCT
$1.2B
| – | – |
-21,539
| Closed | -$295K |
|
741
Vaxcyte
PCVX
$8.01B
| – | – |
-15,400
| Closed | -$501K |
|
742
Pegasystems
PEGA
$4.7B
| – | – |
-40,094
| Closed | -$2.17M |
|
743
Pfizer
PFE
$141B
| – | – |
-98,200
| Closed | -$2.38M |
|
744
Procter & Gamble
PG
$346B
| – | – |
-20,882
| Closed | -$3.33M |
|
745
Polaris
PII
$4.25B
| – | – |
-9,184
| Closed | -$373K |
|
746
Dave & Buster's
PLAY
$363M
| – | – |
-13,005
| Closed | -$391K |
|
747
Palantir
PLTR
$315B
| – | – |
-58,400
| Closed | -$7.96M |
|
748
Philip Morris
PM
$305B
| – | – |
-23,300
| Closed | -$4.24M |
|
749
Insulet
PODD
$11.4B
| – | – |
-12,400
| Closed | -$3.9M |
|
750
PPG Industries
PPG
$26.4B
| – | – |
-1,920
| Closed | -$218K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.