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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+18.4%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$633M
AUM Growth
+$28.6M
(+4.7%)
Cap. Flow
-$33.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-5.32%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
16.42%
Holding
930
New
364
Increased
66
Reduced
78
Closed
421
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$10.6M |
| 2 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$9.91M |
| 3 |
PepsiCo
PEP
|
+$7.84M |
| 4 |
MongoDB
MDB
|
+$7.49M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.36M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$13.6M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$9.96M |
| 3 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$8.1M |
| 4 |
SLB Ltd
SLB
|
+$7.99M |
| 5 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$6.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.15% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 15.1% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 13.9% |
| 4 | Industrials | 9.92% |
| 5 | Financials | 8.17% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
726
Coca-Cola
KO
$362B
| – | – |
-113,150
| Closed | -$8.1M |
|
727
Kenvue
KVUE
$37.4B
| – | – |
-68,100
| Closed | -$1.63M |
|
728
Lithia Motors
LAD
$7.88B
| – | – |
-3,500
| Closed | -$1.03M |
|
729
Lincoln Electric
LECO
$14.1B
| – | – |
-4,300
| Closed | -$813K |
|
730
Centrus Energy
LEU
$3.46B
| – | – |
-5,500
| Closed | -$342K |
|
731
LGI Homes
LGIH
$1.4B
| – | – |
-4,100
| Closed | -$273K |
|
732
Eli Lilly
LLY
$1.07T
| – | – |
-473
| Closed | -$391K |
|
733
Alliant Energy
LNT
$19.1B
| – | – |
-14,900
| Closed | -$959K |
|
|
LNW
734
DELISTED
Light & Wonder
LNW
| – | – |
-10,600
| Closed | -$918K |
|
735
Lowe's Companies
LOW
$119B
| – | – |
-4,663
| Closed | -$1.09M |
|
736
Lam Research
LRCX
$365B
| – | – |
-72,348
| Closed | -$5.26M |
|
737
Lumen
LUMN
$6.45B
| – | – |
-121,300
| Closed | -$475K |
|
738
Southwest Airlines
LUV
$22.2B
| – | – |
-45,600
| Closed | -$1.53M |
|
739
Lamb Weston
LW
$7.3B
| – | – |
-72,500
| Closed | -$3.86M |
|
740
Lloyds Banking Group
LYG
$89B
| – | – |
-24,200
| Closed | -$92.4K |
|
741
Macerich
MAC
$7.41B
| – | – |
-11,530
| Closed | -$198K |
|
|
MASI
742
DELISTED
Masimo
MASI
| – | – |
-6,000
| Closed | -$1,000K |
|
743
Mattel
MAT
$4.3B
| – | – |
-50,900
| Closed | -$989K |
|
744
Mercury Insurance
MCY
$6.01B
| – | – |
-13,200
| Closed | -$738K |
|
745
State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust
MDY
$26.9B
| – | – |
-924
| Closed | -$493K |
|
746
Mercado Libre
MELI
$92.3B
| – | – |
-1,383
| Closed | -$2.7M |
|
747
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
$1.51T
| – | – |
-7,100
| Closed | -$4.09M |
|
748
Magnolia Oil & Gas
MGY
$5.53B
| – | – |
-8,800
| Closed | -$222K |
|
749
Mohawk Industries
MHK
$7.05B
| – | – |
-3,300
| Closed | -$377K |
|
750
Middleby
MIDD
$6.15B
| – | – |
-3,793
| Closed | -$576K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q2 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q2 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 930 positions worth $633M, up 4.7% from $604M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 16% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $33.7M in Q2 2025, closing 421 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was Cisco, an estimated $13.6M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, down from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Wells Fargo worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q2 2025 buy was Wells Fargo: 137,400 shares worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Apple in Q2 2025, an estimated $10.6M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q2 2025 reduction was Philip Morris, cutting an estimated $5.55M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Cisco in Q2 2025, selling an estimated $13.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 16% of its $633M portfolio in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 364 new positions and closed 421 in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 4.7% quarter-over-quarter to $633M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q2 2025, filed 14 Aug 2025.