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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
Turnover
90.24%
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+1.69%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.1%
AUM
$81.9M
AUM Growth
+$38.3M
(+88%)
Cap. Flow
+$45.3M
Cap. Flow % of AUM
Cap. Flow %
55.34%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
30.57%
Holding
223
New
115
Increased
13
Reduced
9
Closed
86
Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$3.1M |
| 2 |
Rocket Lab Corp
RKLB
|
+$3.06M |
| 3 |
CoreWeave
CRWV
|
+$2.71M |
| 4 |
State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
XBI
|
+$2.48M |
| 5 |
Sandisk
SNDK
|
+$2.39M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
NVIDIA
NVDA
|
+$1.6M |
| 2 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$1.56M |
| 3 |
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
|
+$1.29M |
| 4 |
DexCom
DXCM
|
+$954K |
| 5 |
Microchip Technology
MCHP
|
+$940K |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 23.53% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.15% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 11.18% |
| 4 | Communication Services | 10.58% |
| 5 | Financials | 10.49% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | Held Since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
51
Fastenal
FAST
$58.5B
| $524K | 0.64% |
11,300
+100
| +0.9% | +$4.49K |
2025 Q4
1 quarter
|
|
52
Capital One
COF
$124B
| $520K | 0.63% |
+2,850
| New | +$596K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
53
Crown Castle
CCI
$35B
| $500K | 0.61% |
+6,148
| New | +$529K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
54
Trade Desk
TTD
$5.78B
| $490K | 0.6% |
21,600
-1,400
| -6% | -$40.4K |
2025 Q4
1 quarter
|
|
55
Norwegian Cruise Line
NCLH
$6.91B
| $484K | 0.59% |
+25,900
| New | +$566K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
56
Argan
AGX
$4.85B
| $459K | 0.56% |
+843
| New | +$344K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
57
Oracle
ORCL
$389B
| $456K | 0.56% |
+3,100
| New | +$504K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
58
Western Digital
WDC
$124B
| $455K | 0.55% |
+1,681
| New | +$439K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
59
J.M. Smucker
SJM
$13.6B
| $453K | 0.55% |
+4,700
| New | +$492K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
60
Shopify
SHOP
$218B
| $444K | 0.54% |
+3,739
| New | +$491K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
61
Roblox
RBLX
$35.4B
| $440K | 0.54% |
+7,780
| New | +$522K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
62
Astera Labs
ALAB
$49.6B
| $438K | 0.53% |
+3,998
| New | +$569K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
63
Hims & Hers Health
HIMS
$6.55B
| $434K | 0.53% |
+20,908
| New | +$494K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
64
ADMA Biologics
ADMA
$2.39B
| $430K | 0.52% |
+47,700
| New | +$753K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
65
Nu Holdings
NU
$70.3B
| $430K | 0.52% |
+29,900
| New | +$485K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
66
Cummins
CMI
$73.1B
| $429K | 0.52% |
+798
| New | +$452K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
67
O'Reilly Automotive
ORLY
$72.2B
| $421K | 0.51% |
+4,560
| New | +$428K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
68
Arbor Realty Trust
ABR
$502M
| $413K | 0.5% |
+53,600
| New | +$418K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
69
Karman Holdings
KRMN
$4.6B
| $400K | 0.49% |
+5,000
| New | +$482K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
70
Americold
COLD
$3.95B
| $382K | 0.47% |
+33,335
| New | +$418K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
71
Broadcom
AVGO
$1.57T
| $371K | 0.45% |
+1,200
| New | +$395K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
72
Zeta Global
ZETA
$7.98B
| $365K | 0.45% |
+22,930
| New | +$425K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
73
Coeur Mining
CDE
$15.9B
| $363K | 0.44% |
+19,326
| New | +$421K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
74
BP
BP
$129B
| $343K | 0.42% |
+7,300
| New | +$286K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
75
BitMine Immersion Technologies
BMNR
$13.1B
| $334K | 0.41% |
+16,886
| New | +$398K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2026 Portfolio in Review
As of Q1 2026, Bayesian Capital Management held 223 positions worth $81.9M, up 88% from $43.6M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 31% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management deployed $45.3M of net new capital in Q1 2026, opening 115 new positions and adding to 13 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Nike: 51,100 shares worth $2.7M.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 24% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
On the sell side, the largest reduction was Netflix, an estimated $441K trimmed.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2026 buy was Nike: 51,100 shares worth $2.7M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Meta Platforms (Facebook) in Q1 2026, an estimated $2.11M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2026 reduction was Netflix, cutting an estimated $441K.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited NVIDIA in Q1 2026, selling an estimated $1.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 31% of its $81.9M portfolio in Q1 2026.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 115 new positions and closed 86 in Q1 2026.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 88% quarter-over-quarter to $81.9M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2026, filed 15 May 2026.