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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-3.38%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$43.6M
AUM Growth
-$446M
(-91%)
Cap. Flow
-$442M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-1,013.48%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
28.16%
Holding
580
New
77
Increased
4
Reduced
27
Closed
472
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
|
+$1.24M |
| 2 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$1.13M |
| 3 |
NuScale Power
SMR
|
+$1.11M |
| 4 |
Trade Desk
TTD
|
+$1.02M |
| 5 |
Microchip Technology
MCHP
|
+$910K |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.39M |
| 2 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.35M |
| 3 |
CRWV
CoreWeave
CRWV
|
+$4.97M |
| 4 |
Robinhood
HOOD
|
+$4.87M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.81M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.63% |
| 2 | Healthcare | 13.02% |
| 3 | Communication Services | 12.94% |
| 4 | Consumer Discretionary | 11.11% |
| 5 | Industrials | 9.67% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
51
Elanco Animal Health
ELAN
$12.4B
| $292K | 0.67% |
12,900
-5,900
| -31% | -$128K |
|
52
Park Hotels & Resorts
PK
$2.97B
| $291K | 0.67% |
+27,800
| New | +$298K |
|
53
Oscar Health
OSCR
$8.5B
| $290K | 0.67% |
+20,200
| New | +$349K |
|
54
Cisco
CSCO
$450B
| $285K | 0.65% |
+3,700
| New | +$275K |
|
55
State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLB
$8.51B
| $281K | 0.64% |
+6,200
| New | +$274K |
|
56
Adobe
ADBE
$89.5B
| $280K | 0.64% |
800
-3,054
| -79% | -$1.04M |
|
57
eBay
EBAY
$48.6B
| $279K | 0.64% |
+3,200
| New | +$277K |
|
58
Coupang
CPNG
$27.8B
| $274K | 0.63% |
+11,615
| New | +$330K |
|
59
e.l.f. Beauty
ELF
$4.56B
| $274K | 0.63% |
+3,599
| New | +$354K |
|
60
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
IJR
$109B
| $274K | 0.63% |
+2,277
| New | +$272K |
|
61
Carvana
CVNA
$43.3B
| $273K | 0.63% |
+3,240
| New | +$241K |
|
62
NRG Energy
NRG
$29.8B
| $271K | 0.62% |
1,700
-1,400
| -45% | -$232K |
|
63
Cenovus Energy
CVE
$54.6B
| $269K | 0.62% |
+15,900
| New | +$276K |
|
|
AXON
64
Axon Enterprise
AXON
$40.5B
| $266K | 0.61% |
468
-1,032
| -69% | -$640K |
|
65
Emerson Electric
EMR
$82.9B
| $265K | 0.61% |
+2,000
| New | +$265K |
|
66
GE HealthCare
GEHC
$27.6B
| $262K | 0.6% |
+3,200
| New | +$249K |
|
67
Duolingo
DUOL
$5.7B
| $257K | 0.59% |
+1,467
| New | +$346K |
|
68
ConocoPhillips
COP
$147B
| $257K | 0.59% |
2,745
-13,755
| -83% | -$1.24M |
|
69
STMicroelectronics
STM
$46B
| $250K | 0.57% |
+9,619
| New | +$247K |
|
70
Intuit
INTU
$81.1B
| $247K | 0.57% |
373
+41
| +12% | +$27.1K |
|
71
Remitly
RELY
$4.74B
| $247K | 0.57% |
17,900
-48,764
| -73% | -$708K |
|
|
NSA
72
DELISTED
National Storage Affiliates Trust
NSA
| $238K | 0.55% |
+8,441
| New | +$251K |
|
73
Samsara
IOT
$19.3B
| $238K | 0.54% |
6,700
-53,052
| -89% | -$2.05M |
|
74
Vulcan Materials
VMC
$36.3B
| $237K | 0.54% |
+831
| New | +$244K |
|
75
SoFi Technologies
SOFI
$21.1B
| $236K | 0.54% |
+9,000
| New | +$251K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 580 positions worth $43.6M, down 91% from $490M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 28% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $442M in Q4 2025, closing 472 positions and reducing 27 holdings. Its most notable exit was Boston Scientific, an estimated $5.39M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, down from 27% a quarter earlier, followed by Healthcare and Communication Services.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in JPMorgan Chase worth $1.29M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2025 buy was JPMorgan Chase: 4,000 shares worth $1.29M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to TSMC in Q4 2025, an estimated $1.13M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2025 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $4.54M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Boston Scientific in Q4 2025, selling an estimated $5.39M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 28% of its $43.6M portfolio in Q4 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 77 new positions and closed 472 in Q4 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 91% quarter-over-quarter to $43.6M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2025, filed 17 Feb 2026.