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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow %
-33.56%
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
MSFT icon
Microsoft
MSFT
+$6.22M
2
META icon
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
+$6.1M
3
BSX icon
Boston Scientific
BSX
+$5.72M
4
ACN icon
Accenture
ACN
+$5.66M
5
EXPE icon
Expedia Group
EXPE
+$4.52M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$14.8M
2
ORCL icon
Oracle
ORCL
+$10.3M
3
DIS icon
Walt Disney
DIS
+$9.89M
4
AAPL icon
Apple
AAPL
+$9.74M
5
WFC icon
Wells Fargo
WFC
+$8.86M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 26.64%
2 Consumer Discretionary 16.12%
3 Healthcare 15.83%
4 Industrials 12.65%
5 Financials 6.86%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
WFC icon
51
Wells Fargo
WFC
$271B
$2.36M 0.48%
28,100
-109,300
-80% -$8.86M
DOCU
52
DocuSign
DOCU
$13.4B
$2.34M 0.48%
+32,410
New +$2.5M
DOV icon
53
Dover
DOV
$25.5B
$2.3M 0.47%
+13,774
New +$2.47M
COF icon
54
Capital One
COF
$127B
$2.26M 0.46%
10,628
+4,249
+67% +$930K
CDW icon
55
CDW
CDW
$19.2B
$2.25M 0.46%
+14,100
New +$2.4M
MAS icon
56
Masco
MAS
$13.6B
$2.24M 0.46%
+31,827
New +$2.24M
GME icon
57
GameStop
GME
$10.8B
$2.23M 0.46%
+81,700
New +$1.94M
GAP
58
The Gap Inc
GAP
$7.18B
$2.23M 0.45%
+104,100
New +$2.25M
IOT icon
59
Samsara
IOT
$24.4B
$2.23M 0.45%
+59,752
New +$2.22M
DOCS icon
60
Doximity
DOCS
$4.6B
$2.22M 0.45%
+30,300
New +$1.98M
ARGX icon
61
argenx
ARGX
$61.3B
$2.15M 0.44%
+2,920
New +$1.93M
NVDA icon
62
NVIDIA
NVDA
$5.12T
$2.15M 0.44%
+11,500
New +$2M
TTWO icon
63
Take-Two Interactive
TTWO
$39.6B
$2.14M 0.44%
+8,291
New +$1.96M
GWRE icon
64
Guidewire Software
GWRE
$12.4B
$2.11M 0.43%
9,200
-2,984
-24% -$679K
GILD icon
65
Gilead Sciences
GILD
$181B
$2.11M 0.43%
+19,036
New +$2.16M
LH icon
66
Labcorp
LH
$26.3B
$2.1M 0.43%
+7,300
New +$1.96M
XLV icon
67
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLV
$43.5B
$2.08M 0.43%
14,967
-37,483
-71% -$5.07M
LRN icon
68
Stride
LRN
$3.47B
$2.07M 0.42%
13,900
-3,800
-21% -$557K
KR icon
69
Kroger
KR
$37.1B
$2.05M 0.42%
30,400
+2,900
+11% +$202K
TMO icon
70
Thermo Fisher Scientific
TMO
$237B
$2.04M 0.42%
4,200
-2,700
-39% -$1.26M
QRVO icon
71
Qorvo
QRVO
$10.4B
$1.99M 0.41%
+21,800
New +$1.94M
SSNC icon
72
SS&C Technologies
SSNC
$19.1B
$1.97M 0.4%
+22,200
New +$1.92M
LOW icon
73
Lowe's Companies
LOW
$109B
$1.93M 0.39%
+7,686
New +$1.89M
FOXA icon
74
Fox Class A
FOXA
$28.4B
$1.9M 0.39%
30,191
-46,700
-61% -$2.7M
BROS icon
75
Dutch Bros
BROS
$5.79B
$1.87M 0.38%
35,800
+16,999
+90% +$1.07M
1 2
3
4 5

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.