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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $81.9M
1-Year Est. Return 26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+18.4%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$633M
AUM Growth
+$28.6M
Cap. Flow
-$33.7M
Cap. Flow %
-5.32%
Top 10 Hldgs %
16.42%
Holding
930
New
364
Increased
66
Reduced
78
Closed
421

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AAPL icon
Apple
AAPL
+$10.6M
2
WFC icon
Wells Fargo
WFC
+$9.91M
3
PEP icon
PepsiCo
PEP
+$7.84M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$7.49M
5
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$7.36M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
CSCO icon
Cisco
CSCO
+$13.6M
2
AMD icon
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
+$9.96M
3
KO icon
Coca-Cola
KO
+$8.1M
4
SLB icon
SLB Ltd
SLB
+$7.99M
5
WDAY icon
Workday
WDAY
+$6.98M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 25.15%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.1%
3 Healthcare 13.9%
4 Industrials 9.92%
5 Financials 8.17%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
URBN icon
51
Urban Outfitters
URBN
$6.22B
$2.91M 0.46%
40,100
+31,200
+351% +$1.87M
HWM icon
52
Howmet Aerospace
HWM
$115B
$2.9M 0.46%
+15,571
New +$2.4M
DE icon
53
Deere & Co
DE
$169B
$2.89M 0.46%
+5,682
New +$2.78M
GWRE icon
54
Guidewire Software
GWRE
$12.4B
$2.87M 0.45%
+12,184
New +$2.62M
ZBRA icon
55
Zebra Technologies
ZBRA
$12.6B
$2.84M 0.45%
+9,200
New +$2.5M
DGX icon
56
Quest Diagnostics
DGX
$25.6B
$2.82M 0.45%
+15,700
New +$2.73M
EXEL icon
57
Exelixis
EXEL
$14B
$2.8M 0.44%
+63,600
New +$2.54M
TMO icon
58
Thermo Fisher Scientific
TMO
$208B
$2.8M 0.44%
6,900
+5,800
+527% +$2.43M
CVNA icon
59
Carvana
CVNA
$45.9B
$2.73M 0.43%
+40,500
New +$2.22M
DG icon
60
Dollar General
DG
$27.2B
$2.67M 0.42%
23,300
+18,100
+348% +$1.8M
DKS icon
61
Dick's Sporting Goods
DKS
$18.4B
$2.61M 0.41%
+13,200
New +$2.45M
LRN icon
62
Stride
LRN
$3.83B
$2.57M 0.41%
17,700
+10,300
+139% +$1.49M
WMT icon
63
Walmart Inc
WMT
$889B
$2.55M 0.4%
+26,079
New +$2.48M
EHC icon
64
Encompass Health
EHC
$11.3B
$2.51M 0.4%
+20,504
New +$2.34M
SO icon
65
Southern Company
SO
$109B
$2.51M 0.4%
+27,300
New +$2.45M
JPM icon
66
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
$947B
$2.49M 0.39%
+8,602
New +$2.2M
LEN icon
67
Lennar Class A
LEN
$20.5B
$2.47M 0.39%
22,300
+14,200
+175% +$1.54M
JBL icon
68
Jabil
JBL
$32.6B
$2.42M 0.38%
+11,100
New +$1.8M
RDDT icon
69
Reddit
RDDT
$34.5B
$2.41M 0.38%
+16,000
New +$1.81M
GLW icon
70
Corning
GLW
$123B
$2.38M 0.38%
+45,300
New +$2.12M
PFE icon
71
Pfizer
PFE
$141B
$2.38M 0.38%
98,200
-55,000
-36% -$1.28M
NXT icon
72
Nextpower Inc
NXT
$15.7B
$2.38M 0.38%
43,700
+2,300
+6% +$115K
WYNN icon
73
Wynn Resorts
WYNN
$10.3B
$2.28M 0.36%
24,300
+654
+3% +$55.5K
BJ icon
74
BJs Wholesale Club
BJ
$12.1B
$2.26M 0.36%
+20,963
New +$2.39M
CNP icon
75
CenterPoint Energy
CNP
$28.8B
$2.25M 0.36%
+61,300
New +$2.27M
1 2
3
4 5

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q2 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q2 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 930 positions worth $633M, up 4.7% from $604M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 16% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $33.7M in Q2 2025, closing 421 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was Cisco, an estimated $13.6M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, down from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Wells Fargo worth $11M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q2 2025 buy was Wells Fargo: 137,400 shares worth $11M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Apple in Q2 2025, an estimated $10.6M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q2 2025 reduction was Philip Morris, cutting an estimated $5.55M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Cisco in Q2 2025, selling an estimated $13.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 16% of its $633M portfolio in Q2 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 364 new positions and closed 421 in Q2 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 4.7% quarter-over-quarter to $633M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q2 2025, filed 14 Aug 2025.