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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
676
Joby Aviation
JOBY
$7.25B
| – | – |
-42,200
| Closed | -$445K |
|
677
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
$947B
| – | – |
-8,602
| Closed | -$2.49M |
|
|
OPLN
678
Openlane
OPLN
$4.25B
| – | – |
-9,100
| Closed | -$222K |
|
679
KB Home
KBH
$3.53B
| – | – |
-10,600
| Closed | -$561K |
|
680
Kyndryl
KD
$2.81B
| – | – |
-11,750
| Closed | -$493K |
|
681
Keysight
KEYS
$53.6B
| – | – |
-10,145
| Closed | -$1.66M |
|
682
Kimco Realty
KIM
$17.8B
| – | – |
-25,100
| Closed | -$528K |
|
683
CarMax
KMX
$8.29B
| – | – |
-50,946
| Closed | -$3.42M |
|
684
Kite Realty
KRG
$5.99B
| – | – |
-13,900
| Closed | -$315K |
|
685
Leggett & Platt
LEG
$1.5B
| – | – |
-22,866
| Closed | -$204K |
|
686
Lennar Class A
LEN
$20.5B
| – | – |
-22,300
| Closed | -$2.47M |
|
687
Lifestance Health
LFST
$4.15B
| – | – |
-10,000
| Closed | -$51.7K |
|
688
Lumentum
LITE
$55.4B
| – | – |
-15,400
| Closed | -$1.46M |
|
689
Lemonade
LMND
$4.76B
| – | – |
-16,729
| Closed | -$733K |
|
690
LPL Financial
LPLA
$26.5B
| – | – |
-2,900
| Closed | -$1.09M |
|
691
Intuitive Machines
LUNR
$2.14B
| – | – |
-65,400
| Closed | -$711K |
|
692
Lyft
LYFT
$5.73B
| – | – |
-105,300
| Closed | -$1.66M |
|
693
Live Nation Entertainment
LYV
$41.7B
| – | – |
-5,900
| Closed | -$893K |
|
694
Mastercard
MA
$487B
| – | – |
-5,317
| Closed | -$2.99M |
|
695
Marathon Digital Holdings
MARA
$4.49B
| – | – |
-141,300
| Closed | -$2.22M |
|
696
Mobileye
MBLY
$2.02B
| – | – |
-50,500
| Closed | -$908K |
|
697
Microchip Technology
MCHP
$42.3B
| – | – |
-75,400
| Closed | -$5.31M |
|
698
Pediatrix Medical
MD
$2.15B
| – | – |
-18,300
| Closed | -$263K |
|
699
MongoDB
MDB
$24.9B
| – | – |
-40,500
| Closed | -$8.5M |
|
700
Mondelez International
MDLZ
$77.9B
| – | – |
-6,547
| Closed | -$442K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.