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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
551
Baidu
BIDU
$35.7B
| – | – |
-5,574
| Closed | -$478K |
|
552
Birkenstock
BIRK
$7.69B
| – | – |
-25,700
| Closed | -$1.26M |
|
553
BJs Wholesale Club
BJ
$12.4B
| – | – |
-20,963
| Closed | -$2.26M |
|
|
BLD
554
DELISTED
TopBuild
BLD
| – | – |
-683
| Closed | -$221K |
|
555
Boot Barn
BOOT
$4.81B
| – | – |
-7,300
| Closed | -$1.11M |
|
|
BPMC
556
DELISTED
Blueprint Medicines
BPMC
| – | – |
-33,300
| Closed | -$4.27M |
|
557
Beazer Homes USA
BZH
$914M
| – | – |
-9,300
| Closed | -$208K |
|
558
Avis
CAR
$5.88B
| – | – |
-2,507
| Closed | -$424K |
|
559
CarGurus
CARG
$3.28B
| – | – |
-41,250
| Closed | -$1.38M |
|
560
Casey's General Stores
CASY
$31.7B
| – | – |
-3,544
| Closed | -$1.81M |
|
561
CAVA Group
CAVA
$7.57B
| – | – |
-20,701
| Closed | -$1.74M |
|
562
Chemours
CC
$2.57B
| – | – |
-62,600
| Closed | -$717K |
|
563
Carnival Corporation Ltd
CCL
$38.7B
| – | – |
-27,800
| Closed | -$782K |
|
564
Coeur Mining
CDE
$15.4B
| – | – |
-119,600
| Closed | -$1.06M |
|
565
Cadence Design Systems
CDNS
$95.1B
| – | – |
-5,576
| Closed | -$1.72M |
|
566
CF Industries
CF
$18.9B
| – | – |
-15,900
| Closed | -$1.46M |
|
|
CFLT
567
DELISTED
Confluent
CFLT
| – | – |
-34,343
| Closed | -$856K |
|
568
Charter Communications
CHTR
$16.7B
| – | – |
-8,400
| Closed | -$3.43M |
|
|
CHX
569
DELISTED
ChampionX
CHX
| – | – |
-9,100
| Closed | -$226K |
|
570
Cigna
CI
$79.7B
| – | – |
-9,100
| Closed | -$3.01M |
|
571
Colgate-Palmolive
CL
$74.2B
| – | – |
-10,600
| Closed | -$964K |
|
572
CleanSpark
CLSK
$3.46B
| – | – |
-24,400
| Closed | -$269K |
|
573
Centene
CNC
$31.6B
| – | – |
-18,900
| Closed | -$1.03M |
|
574
CONMED
CNMD
$1.33B
| – | – |
-7,779
| Closed | -$405K |
|
575
CenterPoint Energy
CNP
$28.9B
| – | – |
-61,300
| Closed | -$2.25M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.