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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
526
Abercrombie & Fitch
ANF
$4.58B
| – | – |
-40,004
| Closed | -$3.31M |
|
527
Angi Inc
ANGI
$252M
| – | – |
-29,700
| Closed | -$453K |
|
528
Amphenol
APH
$177B
| – | – |
-57,630
| Closed | -$5.69M |
|
529
Apple Hospitality REIT
APLE
$3.97B
| – | – |
-12,000
| Closed | -$140K |
|
530
Apollo Global Management
APO
$71.9B
| – | – |
-2,886
| Closed | -$409K |
|
531
Applovin
APP
$141B
| – | – |
-10,800
| Closed | -$3.78M |
|
532
Aramark
ARMK
$15.1B
| – | – |
-12,500
| Closed | -$523K |
|
|
ARR
533
Armour Residential REIT
ARR
$2.03B
| – | – |
-10,200
| Closed | -$171K |
|
534
Array Technologies
ARRY
$786M
| – | – |
-56,402
| Closed | -$333K |
|
535
Academy Sports + Outdoors
ASO
$3.13B
| – | – |
-6,200
| Closed | -$278K |
|
536
Alphatec Holdings
ATEC
$1.43B
| – | – |
-15,600
| Closed | -$173K |
|
537
AeroVironment
AVAV
$7.91B
| – | – |
-7,313
| Closed | -$2.08M |
|
|
AVDX
538
DELISTED
AvidXchange
AVDX
| – | – |
-81,487
| Closed | -$798K |
|
539
Avient
AVNT
$3.41B
| – | – |
-6,500
| Closed | -$210K |
|
540
Avnet
AVT
$7.07B
| – | – |
-8,299
| Closed | -$441K |
|
|
DCH
541
Dauch Corp
DCH
$1.33B
| – | – |
-12,100
| Closed | -$49.4K |
|
|
AZEK
542
DELISTED
The AZEK Co
AZEK
| – | – |
-35,200
| Closed | -$1.91M |
|
543
Boeing
BA
$175B
| – | – |
-18,400
| Closed | -$3.86M |
|
544
Bank of America
BAC
$439B
| – | – |
-36,300
| Closed | -$1.72M |
|
545
Booz Allen Hamilton
BAH
$8.78B
| – | – |
-3,300
| Closed | -$344K |
|
546
BlackBerry
BB
$4.75B
| – | – |
-192,000
| Closed | -$879K |
|
547
Banco Bradesco
BBD
$38.3B
| – | – |
-17,500
| Closed | -$54.1K |
|
548
Build-A-Bear
BBW
$442M
| – | – |
-8,652
| Closed | -$446K |
|
549
Bath & Body Works
BBWI
$4.13B
| – | – |
-18,279
| Closed | -$548K |
|
550
BGC Group
BGC
$5.73B
| – | – |
-26,100
| Closed | -$267K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.