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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
501
Village Farms International
VFF
$250M
| $58.8K | 0.01% |
+18,800
| New | +$40.8K |
|
502
SEALSQ Corp
LAES
$521M
| $51.6K | 0.01% |
+13,800
| New | +$44.6K |
|
503
Gevo
GEVO
$363M
| $45.5K | 0.01% |
+23,200
| New | +$37.8K |
|
504
American Airlines Group
AAL
$10.2B
| – | – |
-59,700
| Closed | -$670K |
|
505
Aaon
AAON
$7.68B
| – | – |
-3,300
| Closed | -$243K |
|
506
Advance Auto Parts
AAP
$3.54B
| – | – |
-24,300
| Closed | -$1.13M |
|
507
Acadia Healthcare
ACHC
$3.01B
| – | – |
-20,270
| Closed | -$460K |
|
508
Albertsons Companies
ACI
$5.67B
| – | – |
-16,000
| Closed | -$344K |
|
509
ADT
ADT
$5.38B
| – | – |
-42,300
| Closed | -$358K |
|
510
Advanced Energy
AEIS
$10.9B
| – | – |
-4,200
| Closed | -$557K |
|
511
AGCO
AGCO
$8.96B
| – | – |
-3,200
| Closed | -$330K |
|
512
Agilysys
AGYS
$3.12B
| – | – |
-1,992
| Closed | -$228K |
|
513
American International
AIG
$42.9B
| – | – |
-5,000
| Closed | -$428K |
|
514
Assurant
AIZ
$14B
| – | – |
-1,300
| Closed | -$257K |
|
515
Alcon
ALC
$33.7B
| – | – |
-3,700
| Closed | -$327K |
|
516
Align Technology
ALGN
$12.6B
| – | – |
-6,200
| Closed | -$1.17M |
|
517
Alight
ALIT
$523M
| – | – |
-569
| Closed | -$64.4K |
|
518
Alaska Air
ALK
$5.42B
| – | – |
-5,300
| Closed | -$262K |
|
519
Alkami Technology
ALKT
$1.94B
| – | – |
-9,000
| Closed | -$271K |
|
520
Allison Transmission
ALSN
$10B
| – | – |
-12,280
| Closed | -$1.17M |
|
521
Altimmune
ALT
$581M
| – | – |
-14,300
| Closed | -$55.3K |
|
522
Autoliv
ALV
$9.09B
| – | – |
-6,500
| Closed | -$727K |
|
523
Ametek
AME
$55.3B
| – | – |
-5,391
| Closed | -$976K |
|
524
Ameresco
AMRC
$1.04B
| – | – |
-16,476
| Closed | -$250K |
|
525
American Superconductor
AMSC
$1.39B
| – | – |
-13,000
| Closed | -$477K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.