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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
476
Peloton Interactive
PTON
$2.76B
| $150K | 0.03% |
+16,634
| New | +$124K |
|
477
Evolv Technologies
EVLV
$986M
| $149K | 0.03% |
19,700
-1,300
| -6% | -$9.49K |
|
478
AdaptHealth
AHCO
$1.45B
| $147K | 0.03% |
+16,400
| New | +$152K |
|
479
Aurora
AUR
$12.2B
| $140K | 0.03% |
+26,000
| New | +$153K |
|
480
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals
BCRX
$2.35B
| $132K | 0.03% |
+17,400
| New | +$145K |
|
481
AerSale
ASLE
$291M
| $119K | 0.02% |
+14,523
| New | +$109K |
|
482
Myriad Genetics
MYGN
$507M
| $111K | 0.02% |
+15,400
| New | +$91.4K |
|
|
NAGE
483
Niagen Bioscience
NAGE
$264M
| $104K | 0.02% |
11,200
-3,300
| -23% | -$33.3K |
|
484
CryoPort
CYRX
$773M
| $100K | 0.02% |
+10,600
| New | +$89.2K |
|
485
Hillman Solutions
HLMN
$1.55B
| $97.3K | 0.02% |
10,600
-4,000
| -27% | -$36.1K |
|
486
Custom Truck One Source
CTOS
$2.26B
| $95.7K | 0.02% |
+14,900
| New | +$86.3K |
|
|
ACH
487
Accendra Health
ACH
$256M
| $95.4K | 0.02% |
+19,866
| New | +$126K |
|
488
Methode Electronics
MEI
$486M
| $94.4K | 0.02% |
+12,500
| New | +$93K |
|
489
RUM Group Inc
RUM
$1.63B
| $92.9K | 0.02% |
+12,825
| New | +$105K |
|
|
AIOT
490
PowerFleet Inc
AIOT
$525M
| $92.1K | 0.02% |
+17,575
| New | +$81.2K |
|
491
Novavax
NVAX
$1.22B
| $89.1K | 0.02% |
+10,274
| New | +$80K |
|
492
Clarivate
CLVT
$1.29B
| $88.1K | 0.02% |
+23,000
| New | +$96.6K |
|
|
WOW
493
DELISTED
WideOpenWest
WOW
| $87.6K | 0.02% |
+16,983
| New | +$76.1K |
|
494
Frontier Group Holdings
ULCC
$1.61B
| $76.4K | 0.02% |
+17,300
| New | +$78.5K |
|
495
Stagwell
STGW
$2.1B
| $66.3K | 0.01% |
+11,784
| New | +$62.5K |
|
|
ACB
496
Aurora Cannabis
ACB
$175M
| $66.2K | 0.01% |
+11,100
| New | +$54.2K |
|
|
MCW
497
DELISTED
Mister Car Wash
MCW
| $63.1K | 0.01% |
11,846
-25,900
| -69% | -$153K |
|
498
Neogen
NEOG
$2.51B
| $61.7K | 0.01% |
+10,800
| New | +$57.6K |
|
499
Sundial Growers
SNDL
$325M
| $60.6K | 0.01% |
+22,600
| New | +$45.4K |
|
500
SelectQuote
SLQT
$128M
| $59.6K | 0.01% |
+30,400
| New | +$64.3K |
|
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QM
Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.