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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
Turnover
90.24%
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+1.69%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.1%
AUM
$81.9M
AUM Growth
+$38.3M
(+88%)
Cap. Flow
+$45.3M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
55.34%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
30.57%
Holding
223
New
115
Increased
13
Reduced
9
Closed
86
Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$3.1M |
| 2 |
Rocket Lab Corp
RKLB
|
+$3.06M |
| 3 |
CoreWeave
CRWV
|
+$2.71M |
| 4 |
State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
XBI
|
+$2.48M |
| 5 |
Sandisk
SNDK
|
+$2.39M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
NVIDIA
NVDA
|
+$1.6M |
| 2 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$1.56M |
| 3 |
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
|
+$1.29M |
| 4 |
DexCom
DXCM
|
+$954K |
| 5 |
Microchip Technology
MCHP
|
+$940K |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 23.53% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.15% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 11.18% |
| 4 | Communication Services | 10.58% |
| 5 | Financials | 10.49% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | Held Since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
26
Dollar Tree
DLTR
$23.5B
| $767K | 0.94% |
+7,000
| New | +$855K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
27
Shell
SHEL
$301B
| $748K | 0.91% |
+8,043
| New | +$650K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
28
Las Vegas Sands
LVS
$24.9B
| $727K | 0.89% |
+13,500
| New | +$768K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
29
AST SpaceMobile
ASTS
$12.6B
| $712K | 0.87% |
+8,587
| New | +$810K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
30
Wendy's
WEN
$1.28B
| $703K | 0.86% |
+101,100
| New | +$778K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
31
Altria Group
MO
$125B
| $699K | 0.85% |
+10,600
| New | +$682K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
32
GameStop
GME
$13.5B
| $691K | 0.84% |
+30,000
| New | +$696K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
33
AGNC Investment
AGNC
$10.4B
| $648K | 0.79% |
64,600
+46,800
| +263% | +$517K |
2025 Q4
1 quarter
|
|
34
S&P Global
SPGI
$126B
| $629K | 0.77% |
+1,478
| New | +$686K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
35
Celsius Holdings
CELH
$7.27B
| $628K | 0.77% |
+17,700
| New | +$839K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
36
McCormick & Company Non-Voting
MKC
$12.4B
| $620K | 0.76% |
+12,300
| New | +$783K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
37
ICICI Bank
IBN
$108B
| $618K | 0.75% |
+23,858
| New | +$700K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
38
Millicom
TIGO
$13.8B
| $615K | 0.75% |
+8,200
| New | +$538K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
39
Alphabet (Google) Class A
GOOGL
$4.2T
| $604K | 0.74% |
+2,100
| New | +$660K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
40
Regions Financial
RF
$23.4B
| $598K | 0.73% |
+22,900
| New | +$639K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
41
Chewy
CHWY
$8.46B
| $598K | 0.73% |
22,130
+11,100
| +101% | +$309K |
2025 Q4
1 quarter
|
|
42
Occidental Petroleum
OXY
$61.4B
| $589K | 0.72% |
9,068
-332
| -4% | -$16.7K |
2025 Q1
4 quarters
|
|
43
UDR
UDR
$11B
| $574K | 0.7% |
+17,000
| New | +$624K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
44
T-Mobile US
TMUS
$170B
| $574K | 0.7% |
+2,734
| New | +$562K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
45
Thermo Fisher Scientific
TMO
$253B
| $567K | 0.69% |
+1,153
| New | +$626K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
46
Edwards Lifesciences
EW
$50B
| $567K | 0.69% |
+7,077
| New | +$583K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
47
Annaly Capital Management
NLY
$13.8B
| $559K | 0.68% |
26,449
+8,649
| +49% | +$197K |
2025 Q4
1 quarter
|
|
48
Chevron
CVX
$436B
| $559K | 0.68% |
+2,700
| New | +$492K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
49
Arm
ARM
$251B
| $548K | 0.67% |
+3,623
| New | +$440K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
50
DELISTED
Apellis Pharmaceuticals
APLS
| $527K | 0.64% |
+13,104
| New | +$282K |
2026 Q1
0 quarters
|
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2026 Portfolio in Review
As of Q1 2026, Bayesian Capital Management held 223 positions worth $81.9M, up 88% from $43.6M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 31% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management deployed $45.3M of net new capital in Q1 2026, opening 115 new positions and adding to 13 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Nike: 51,100 shares worth $2.7M.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 24% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
On the sell side, the largest reduction was Netflix, an estimated $441K trimmed.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2026 buy was Nike: 51,100 shares worth $2.7M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Meta Platforms (Facebook) in Q1 2026, an estimated $2.11M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2026 reduction was Netflix, cutting an estimated $441K.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited NVIDIA in Q1 2026, selling an estimated $1.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 31% of its $81.9M portfolio in Q1 2026.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 115 new positions and closed 86 in Q1 2026.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 88% quarter-over-quarter to $81.9M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2026, filed 15 May 2026.