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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $81.9M
1-Year Est. Return 26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow %
-33.56%
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
MSFT icon
Microsoft
MSFT
+$6.22M
2
META icon
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
+$6.1M
3
BSX icon
Boston Scientific
BSX
+$5.72M
4
ACN icon
Accenture
ACN
+$5.66M
5
EXPE icon
Expedia Group
EXPE
+$4.52M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$14.8M
2
ORCL icon
Oracle
ORCL
+$10.3M
3
DIS icon
Walt Disney
DIS
+$9.89M
4
AAPL icon
Apple
AAPL
+$9.74M
5
WFC icon
Wells Fargo
WFC
+$8.86M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 26.64%
2 Consumer Discretionary 16.12%
3 Healthcare 15.86%
4 Industrials 12.65%
5 Financials 6.86%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
KDP icon
26
Keurig Dr Pepper
KDP
$40.8B
$3.05M 0.62%
+119,700
New +$3.75M
CIEN icon
27
Ciena
CIEN
$53B
$2.99M 0.61%
+20,522
New +$2.09M
CCI icon
28
Crown Castle
CCI
$32.4B
$2.97M 0.61%
+30,821
New +$3.12M
XYL icon
29
Xylem
XYL
$28.6B
$2.92M 0.6%
+19,800
New +$2.75M
AVGO icon
30
Broadcom
AVGO
$1.82T
$2.9M 0.59%
+8,800
New +$2.7M
FTV icon
31
Fortive
FTV
$19.1B
$2.82M 0.58%
+57,600
New +$2.84M
DECK icon
32
Deckers Outdoor
DECK
$13.8B
$2.82M 0.58%
+27,800
New +$3.03M
NTRA icon
33
Natera
NTRA
$37.2B
$2.77M 0.57%
+17,200
New +$2.72M
GIS icon
34
General Mills
GIS
$19.5B
$2.77M 0.57%
+54,900
New +$2.75M
FSLR icon
35
First Solar
FSLR
$22B
$2.71M 0.55%
+12,300
New +$2.36M
CTSH icon
36
Cognizant
CTSH
$22.6B
$2.62M 0.54%
39,100
+32,800
+521% +$2.37M
FCX icon
37
Freeport-McMoran
FCX
$89.5B
$2.61M 0.53%
66,500
+58,484
+730% +$2.54M
SPGI icon
38
S&P Global
SPGI
$131B
$2.6M 0.53%
+5,340
New +$2.86M
JCI icon
39
Johnson Controls International
JCI
$87B
$2.58M 0.53%
23,500
+19,289
+458% +$2.06M
TJX icon
40
TJX Companies
TJX
$173B
$2.57M 0.53%
+17,800
New +$2.36M
MGM icon
41
MGM Resorts International
MGM
$11.8B
$2.53M 0.52%
73,100
+59,600
+441% +$2.19M
HALO icon
42
Halozyme
HALO
$9.72B
$2.53M 0.52%
34,482
+6,400
+23% +$425K
BRK.B icon
43
Berkshire Hathaway Class B
BRK.B
$1.07T
$2.51M 0.51%
+5,000
New +$2.42M
SE icon
44
Sea Limited
SE
$64B
$2.48M 0.51%
13,900
+3,200
+30% +$548K
SPY icon
45
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$782B
$2.46M 0.5%
3,700
-4,300
-54% -$2.76M
P
46
Everpure Inc
P
$24.5B
$2.41M 0.49%
+28,800
New +$1.92M
EA icon
47
Electronic Arts
EA
$52.4B
$2.4M 0.49%
+11,905
New +$1.97M
BURL icon
48
Burlington
BURL
$22.4B
$2.39M 0.49%
+9,394
New +$2.55M
CCK icon
49
Crown Holdings
CCK
$12.9B
$2.38M 0.49%
+24,590
New +$2.47M
ADSK icon
50
Autodesk
ADSK
$47.9B
$2.37M 0.48%
+7,457
New +$2.27M
1
2
3 4 5

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.