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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PRO
451
DELISTED
PROS Holdings
PRO
| $211K | 0.04% |
+9,200
| New | +$150K |
|
452
Kirby Corp
KEX
$7.77B
| $210K | 0.04% |
+2,513
| New | +$252K |
|
453
TransUnion
TRU
$16.2B
| $210K | 0.04% |
+2,501
| New | +$227K |
|
454
Immunovant
IMVT
$7.99B
| $209K | 0.04% |
+12,976
| New | +$210K |
|
455
Crescent Energy
CRGY
$3.44B
| $209K | 0.04% |
+23,388
| New | +$212K |
|
456
TORM
TRMD
$3.05B
| $208K | 0.04% |
+10,100
| New | +$203K |
|
457
Global Payments
GPN
$23.9B
| $208K | 0.04% |
2,500
-2,501
| -50% | -$211K |
|
458
NCR Voyix
VYX
$1.19B
| $207K | 0.04% |
16,500
+4,000
| +32% | +$52.7K |
|
459
Helen of Troy
HELE
$672M
| $207K | 0.04% |
8,200
-4,493
| -35% | -$109K |
|
460
JD.com
JD
$42.9B
| $206K | 0.04% |
+5,891
| New | +$192K |
|
461
SiriusXM
SIRI
$10.7B
| $205K | 0.04% |
+8,800
| New | +$204K |
|
|
DOO
462
Bombardier Recreational Products
DOO
$4.58B
| $204K | 0.04% |
+3,359
| New | +$189K |
|
463
Janus International
JBI
$732M
| $200K | 0.04% |
+20,222
| New | +$195K |
|
464
O-I Glass
OI
$1.39B
| $197K | 0.04% |
+15,200
| New | +$207K |
|
465
Sally Beauty Holdings
SBH
$1.48B
| $197K | 0.04% |
12,100
-1,300
| -10% | -$16.3K |
|
466
Adeia
ADEA
$2.77B
| $190K | 0.04% |
+11,300
| New | +$167K |
|
467
Arcos Dorados Holdings
ARCO
$1.77B
| $189K | 0.04% |
+27,979
| New | +$199K |
|
468
SkyWater Technology
SKYT
$1.53B
| $187K | 0.04% |
+10,000
| New | +$116K |
|
469
AES
AES
$10.6B
| $183K | 0.04% |
13,900
-20,700
| -60% | -$269K |
|
470
Hecla Mining
HL
$9.76B
| $180K | 0.04% |
+14,900
| New | +$120K |
|
471
Pearson
PSO
$10.5B
| $177K | 0.04% |
+12,500
| New | +$180K |
|
472
Inter&Co
INTR
$2.47B
| $170K | 0.03% |
+18,400
| New | +$145K |
|
473
Digital Turbine
APPS
$1.02B
| $167K | 0.03% |
+26,100
| New | +$130K |
|
474
Constellium
CSTM
$3.96B
| $165K | 0.03% |
+11,100
| New | +$159K |
|
475
Liberty Global Class A
LBTYA
$3.49B
| $163K | 0.03% |
+14,234
| New | +$157K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.