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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+18.4%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$633M
AUM Growth
+$28.6M
(+4.7%)
Cap. Flow
-$33.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-5.32%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
16.42%
Holding
930
New
364
Increased
66
Reduced
78
Closed
421
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$10.6M |
| 2 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$9.91M |
| 3 |
PepsiCo
PEP
|
+$7.84M |
| 4 |
MongoDB
MDB
|
+$7.49M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.36M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$13.6M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$9.96M |
| 3 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$8.1M |
| 4 |
SLB Ltd
SLB
|
+$7.99M |
| 5 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$6.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.15% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 15.1% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 13.9% |
| 4 | Industrials | 9.92% |
| 5 | Financials | 8.17% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
451
Futu Holdings
FUTU
$14.6B
| $210K | 0.03% |
+1,700
| New | +$174K |
|
452
GlobalFoundries
GFS
$29.2B
| $210K | 0.03% |
+5,500
| New | +$199K |
|
453
Avient
AVNT
$3.34B
| $210K | 0.03% |
+6,500
| New | +$225K |
|
454
Interface
TILE
$1.96B
| $210K | 0.03% |
+10,018
| New | +$198K |
|
|
NAGE
455
Niagen Bioscience
NAGE
$257M
| $209K | 0.03% |
14,500
+1,000
| +7% | +$9.88K |
|
456
Beazer Homes USA
BZH
$903M
| $208K | 0.03% |
+9,300
| New | +$193K |
|
457
SolarEdge
SEDG
$2.62B
| $206K | 0.03% |
+10,100
| New | +$167K |
|
458
Leggett & Platt
LEG
$1.5B
| $204K | 0.03% |
22,866
+2,700
| +13% | +$23.3K |
|
459
Bristol-Myers Squibb
BMY
$128B
| $202K | 0.03% |
+4,373
| New | +$215K |
|
460
Capri Holdings
CPRI
$1.82B
| $202K | 0.03% |
+11,400
| New | +$188K |
|
461
NerdWallet
NRDS
$613M
| $200K | 0.03% |
+18,246
| New | +$183K |
|
462
Quanex
NX
$863M
| $198K | 0.03% |
+10,500
| New | +$186K |
|
463
Arcutis Biotherapeutics
ARQT
$3.48B
| $195K | 0.03% |
+13,900
| New | +$195K |
|
464
Viasat
VSAT
$10.2B
| $186K | 0.03% |
+12,747
| New | +$129K |
|
|
NTST
465
NETSTREIT Corp
NTST
$2.13B
| $185K | 0.03% |
+10,917
| New | +$175K |
|
|
DAWN
466
DELISTED
Day One Biopharmaceuticals
DAWN
| $183K | 0.03% |
28,100
+10,100
| +56% | +$69.5K |
|
467
Delcath Systems
DCTH
$412M
| $181K | 0.03% |
+13,300
| New | +$185K |
|
468
Porch Group
PRCH
$1.39B
| $180K | 0.03% |
+15,300
| New | +$131K |
|
469
ProPetro Holding
PUMP
$1.32B
| $179K | 0.03% |
+30,000
| New | +$172K |
|
470
Sweetgreen
SG
$733M
| $179K | 0.03% |
+12,000
| New | +$198K |
|
471
Alphatec Holdings
ATEC
$1.33B
| $173K | 0.03% |
+15,600
| New | +$179K |
|
|
ARR
472
Armour Residential REIT
ARR
$2.01B
| $171K | 0.03% |
+10,200
| New | +$164K |
|
473
Portillo's
PTLO
$338M
| $167K | 0.03% |
+14,280
| New | +$165K |
|
474
Sotera Health
SHC
$4.92B
| $166K | 0.03% |
14,941
-700
| -4% | -$8.2K |
|
475
EVgo
EVGO
$220M
| $163K | 0.03% |
+44,700
| New | +$153K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q2 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q2 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 930 positions worth $633M, up 4.7% from $604M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 16% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $33.7M in Q2 2025, closing 421 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was Cisco, an estimated $13.6M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, down from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Wells Fargo worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q2 2025 buy was Wells Fargo: 137,400 shares worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Apple in Q2 2025, an estimated $10.6M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q2 2025 reduction was Philip Morris, cutting an estimated $5.55M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Cisco in Q2 2025, selling an estimated $13.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 16% of its $633M portfolio in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 364 new positions and closed 421 in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 4.7% quarter-over-quarter to $633M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q2 2025, filed 14 Aug 2025.