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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
426
AstraZeneca
AZN
$267B
| $240K | 0.05% |
+1,565
| New | +$237K |
|
427
Celestica
CLS
$40.3B
| $238K | 0.05% |
965
-1,235
| -56% | -$249K |
|
428
Liquidia Corp
LQDA
$7.72B
| $236K | 0.05% |
+10,400
| New | +$226K |
|
|
ELME
429
Elme Communities
ELME
$142M
| $234K | 0.05% |
+13,900
| New | +$230K |
|
430
Rexford Industrial Realty
REXR
$8.64B
| $234K | 0.05% |
+5,700
| New | +$223K |
|
431
Indivior Pharmaceuticals
INDV
$4.85B
| $234K | 0.05% |
+9,700
| New | +$203K |
|
|
PRSU
432
Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc
PRSU
$1.48B
| $232K | 0.05% |
+6,414
| New | +$217K |
|
433
Sonos
SONO
$2B
| $232K | 0.05% |
14,659
+600
| +4% | +$7.7K |
|
434
Avantor
AVTR
$8.48B
| $231K | 0.05% |
+18,500
| New | +$238K |
|
435
Rubrik
RBRK
$14.7B
| $231K | 0.05% |
+2,806
| New | +$241K |
|
436
CBIZ
CBZ
$2.51B
| $231K | 0.05% |
+4,357
| New | +$281K |
|
437
Talos Energy
TALO
$2.28B
| $230K | 0.05% |
24,017
-10,700
| -31% | -$96K |
|
438
Helmerich & Payne
HP
$3.31B
| $230K | 0.05% |
+10,400
| New | +$192K |
|
439
Vipshop
VIPS
$7.13B
| $228K | 0.05% |
+11,600
| New | +$192K |
|
440
Intuit
INTU
$85.6B
| $227K | 0.05% |
332
-2,121
| -86% | -$1.53M |
|
441
Maximus
MMS
$3.31B
| $226K | 0.05% |
+2,469
| New | +$200K |
|
442
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals
MDGL
$12.4B
| $225K | 0.05% |
491
-889
| -64% | -$332K |
|
443
Arbor Realty Trust
ABR
$979M
| $222K | 0.05% |
18,200
-12,800
| -41% | -$149K |
|
444
Petco
WOOF
$811M
| $222K | 0.05% |
+57,300
| New | +$192K |
|
445
ICICI Bank
IBN
$109B
| $222K | 0.05% |
+7,329
| New | +$239K |
|
446
CVR Energy
CVI
$3.39B
| $218K | 0.04% |
+5,969
| New | +$179K |
|
447
World Kinect Corp
WKC
$2.06B
| $216K | 0.04% |
+8,327
| New | +$224K |
|
448
LegalZoom.com
LZ
$1.39B
| $214K | 0.04% |
20,600
-17,300
| -46% | -$173K |
|
|
HSAI
449
Hesai Group
HSAI
$2.5B
| $214K | 0.04% |
+7,600
| New | +$186K |
|
450
Sotera Health
SHC
$5.06B
| $213K | 0.04% |
13,541
-1,400
| -9% | -$19.7K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.