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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-3.38%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$43.6M
AUM Growth
-$446M
(-91%)
Cap. Flow
-$442M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-1,013.48%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
28.16%
Holding
580
New
77
Increased
4
Reduced
27
Closed
472
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
|
+$1.24M |
| 2 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$1.13M |
| 3 |
NuScale Power
SMR
|
+$1.11M |
| 4 |
Trade Desk
TTD
|
+$1.02M |
| 5 |
Microchip Technology
MCHP
|
+$910K |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.39M |
| 2 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.35M |
| 3 |
CRWV
CoreWeave
CRWV
|
+$4.97M |
| 4 |
Robinhood
HOOD
|
+$4.87M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.81M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.63% |
| 2 | Healthcare | 13.02% |
| 3 | Communication Services | 12.94% |
| 4 | Consumer Discretionary | 11.11% |
| 5 | Industrials | 9.67% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
401
Envista
NVST
$4.39B
| – | – |
-18,600
| Closed | -$379K |
|
402
nVent Electric
NVT
$22.9B
| – | – |
-10,332
| Closed | -$1.02M |
|
403
News Corp Class B
NWS
$17.2B
| – | – |
-28,400
| Closed | -$981K |
|
404
News Corp Class A
NWSA
$15.3B
| – | – |
-39,700
| Closed | -$1.22M |
|
405
Nexstar Media Group
NXST
$5.92B
| – | – |
-2,600
| Closed | -$514K |
|
406
Old Dominion Freight Line
ODFL
$47.1B
| – | – |
-8,900
| Closed | -$1.25M |
|
407
Organon & Co
OGN
$3.55B
| – | – |
-80,600
| Closed | -$861K |
|
408
O-I Glass
OI
$1.39B
| – | – |
-15,200
| Closed | -$197K |
|
409
Okta
OKTA
$23.7B
| – | – |
-40,400
| Closed | -$3.7M |
|
410
Ollie's Bargain Outlet
OLLI
$4.17B
| – | – |
-10,000
| Closed | -$1.28M |
|
|
ACH
411
Accendra Health
ACH
$249M
| – | – |
-19,866
| Closed | -$95.4K |
|
412
ON Semiconductor
ON
$32.8B
| – | – |
-35,778
| Closed | -$1.76M |
|
413
OppFi
OPFI
$824M
| – | – |
-22,300
| Closed | -$253K |
|
414
Oshkosh
OSK
$9.51B
| – | – |
-8,622
| Closed | -$1.12M |
|
415
Oxford Industries
OXM
$613M
| – | – |
-6,000
| Closed | -$243K |
|
416
Phibro Animal Health
PAHC
$1.48B
| – | – |
-6,308
| Closed | -$255K |
|
417
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
$260B
| – | – |
-3,114
| Closed | -$634K |
|
418
Paycom
PAYC
$7.54B
| – | – |
-3,244
| Closed | -$675K |
|
419
Prosperity Bancshares
PB
$8.82B
| – | – |
-3,800
| Closed | -$252K |
|
420
Paylocity
PCTY
$7.43B
| – | – |
-7,900
| Closed | -$1.26M |
|
421
Pinduoduo
PDD
$122B
| – | – |
-7,500
| Closed | -$991K |
|
422
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust
PEB
$2.2B
| – | – |
-44,400
| Closed | -$506K |
|
423
Penumbra
PEN
$12.6B
| – | – |
-3,903
| Closed | -$989K |
|
424
PepsiCo
PEP
$195B
| – | – |
-7,100
| Closed | -$997K |
|
425
Principal Financial Group
PFG
$24.6B
| – | – |
-12,300
| Closed | -$1.02M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 580 positions worth $43.6M, down 91% from $490M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 28% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $442M in Q4 2025, closing 472 positions and reducing 27 holdings. Its most notable exit was Boston Scientific, an estimated $5.39M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, down from 27% a quarter earlier, followed by Healthcare and Communication Services.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in JPMorgan Chase worth $1.29M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2025 buy was JPMorgan Chase: 4,000 shares worth $1.29M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to TSMC in Q4 2025, an estimated $1.13M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2025 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $4.54M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Boston Scientific in Q4 2025, selling an estimated $5.39M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 28% of its $43.6M portfolio in Q4 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 77 new positions and closed 472 in Q4 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 91% quarter-over-quarter to $43.6M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2025, filed 17 Feb 2026.