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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
401
Ubiquiti
UI
$32.4B
| $269K | 0.05% |
+407
| New | +$203K |
|
402
Norfolk Southern
NSC
$76.1B
| $268K | 0.05% |
+893
| New | +$248K |
|
403
Casella Waste Systems
CWST
$5.79B
| $267K | 0.05% |
+2,811
| New | +$283K |
|
404
Liberty Energy
LBRT
$2.89B
| $267K | 0.05% |
+21,600
| New | +$250K |
|
405
Liberty Global Class C
LBTYK
$3.4B
| $265K | 0.05% |
+22,540
| New | +$252K |
|
406
Adaptive Biotechnologies
ADPT
$3.6B
| $264K | 0.05% |
+17,658
| New | +$215K |
|
407
Range Resources
RRC
$8.94B
| $263K | 0.05% |
+7,000
| New | +$250K |
|
408
Terreno Realty
TRNO
$7.72B
| $263K | 0.05% |
+4,630
| New | +$263K |
|
409
Loews
L
$24.6B
| $261K | 0.05% |
+2,600
| New | +$246K |
|
410
Vanguard Value ETF
VTV
$190B
| $259K | 0.05% |
1,390
-594
| -30% | -$108K |
|
411
Franklin Resources
BEN
$17.3B
| $258K | 0.05% |
11,141
+1,387
| +14% | +$34.3K |
|
412
Crane Co
CR
$13.1B
| $258K | 0.05% |
+1,399
| New | +$264K |
|
413
NETSCOUT
NTCT
$2.89B
| $257K | 0.05% |
+9,959
| New | +$236K |
|
414
Phibro Animal Health
PAHC
$1.48B
| $255K | 0.05% |
+6,308
| New | +$208K |
|
415
OppFi
OPFI
$824M
| $253K | 0.05% |
+22,300
| New | +$250K |
|
416
Prosperity Bancshares
PB
$8.82B
| $252K | 0.05% |
+3,800
| New | +$261K |
|
417
Valvoline
VVV
$5.13B
| $248K | 0.05% |
+6,900
| New | +$263K |
|
418
Ceco Environmental
CECO
$3.94B
| $247K | 0.05% |
+4,822
| New | +$204K |
|
419
Sabesp
SBS
$19.4B
| $246K | 0.05% |
+51,003
| New | +$215K |
|
420
TG Therapeutics
TGTX
$8.4B
| $246K | 0.05% |
+6,804
| New | +$224K |
|
421
Papa John's
PZZA
$1.02B
| $244K | 0.05% |
5,066
-2,029
| -29% | -$93.9K |
|
422
Oxford Industries
OXM
$613M
| $243K | 0.05% |
+6,000
| New | +$260K |
|
423
Builders FirstSource
BLDR
$7.93B
| $243K | 0.05% |
2,000
-1,807
| -47% | -$240K |
|
424
Alkermes
ALKS
$8.42B
| $242K | 0.05% |
+8,074
| New | +$228K |
|
425
Watsco Inc
WSO
$15.1B
| $241K | 0.05% |
+597
| New | +$255K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.