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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-3.38%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$43.6M
AUM Growth
-$446M
(-91%)
Cap. Flow
-$442M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-1,013.48%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
28.16%
Holding
580
New
77
Increased
4
Reduced
27
Closed
472
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
|
+$1.24M |
| 2 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$1.13M |
| 3 |
NuScale Power
SMR
|
+$1.11M |
| 4 |
Trade Desk
TTD
|
+$1.02M |
| 5 |
Microchip Technology
MCHP
|
+$910K |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.39M |
| 2 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.35M |
| 3 |
CRWV
CoreWeave
CRWV
|
+$4.97M |
| 4 |
Robinhood
HOOD
|
+$4.87M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.81M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.63% |
| 2 | Healthcare | 13.02% |
| 3 | Communication Services | 12.94% |
| 4 | Consumer Discretionary | 11.11% |
| 5 | Industrials | 9.67% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
376
MKS Inc
MKSI
$19.3B
| – | – |
-5,548
| Closed | -$687K |
|
|
MRSH
377
Marsh
MRSH
$91.7B
| – | – |
-4,100
| Closed | -$826K |
|
378
3M
MMM
$94.1B
| – | – |
-27,400
| Closed | -$4.25M |
|
379
Maximus
MMS
$3.31B
| – | – |
-2,469
| Closed | -$226K |
|
380
Monster Beverage
MNST
$95.6B
| – | – |
-16,600
| Closed | -$1.12M |
|
381
Marathon Petroleum
MPC
$89.3B
| – | – |
-4,211
| Closed | -$812K |
|
382
Monolithic Power Systems
MPWR
$63B
| – | – |
-1,100
| Closed | -$1.01M |
|
383
Marqeta
MQ
$1.9B
| – | – |
-41,825
| Closed | -$883K |
|
384
Mercury Systems
MRCY
$5.97B
| – | – |
-13,654
| Closed | -$1.06M |
|
385
MSC Industrial Direct
MSM
$6.97B
| – | – |
-4,538
| Closed | -$418K |
|
386
Match Group
MTCH
$9.16B
| – | – |
-10,600
| Closed | -$374K |
|
387
MGIC Investment
MTG
$6.47B
| – | – |
-23,165
| Closed | -$657K |
|
388
Micron Technology
MU
$927B
| – | – |
-2,600
| Closed | -$435K |
|
389
Mueller Water Products
MWA
$4.05B
| – | – |
-28,300
| Closed | -$722K |
|
390
Myriad Genetics
MYGN
$502M
| – | – |
-15,400
| Closed | -$111K |
|
391
nCino
NCNO
$2.03B
| – | – |
-23,309
| Closed | -$632K |
|
392
Neogen
NEOG
$2B
| – | – |
-10,800
| Closed | -$61.7K |
|
393
NiSource
NI
$21.9B
| – | – |
-12,500
| Closed | -$541K |
|
394
NIO
NIO
$11.7B
| – | – |
-40,800
| Closed | -$311K |
|
395
Newmark Group
NMRK
$2.88B
| – | – |
-22,580
| Closed | -$421K |
|
396
NOV
NOV
$7.11B
| – | – |
-21,100
| Closed | -$280K |
|
397
Norfolk Southern
NSC
$76.1B
| – | – |
-893
| Closed | -$268K |
|
398
NETSCOUT
NTCT
$2.89B
| – | – |
-9,959
| Closed | -$257K |
|
399
Natera
NTRA
$36.1B
| – | – |
-17,200
| Closed | -$2.77M |
|
|
NVO
400
Novo Nordisk
NVO
$225B
| – | – |
-68,300
| Closed | -$3.79M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 580 positions worth $43.6M, down 91% from $490M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 28% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $442M in Q4 2025, closing 472 positions and reducing 27 holdings. Its most notable exit was Boston Scientific, an estimated $5.39M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, down from 27% a quarter earlier, followed by Healthcare and Communication Services.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in JPMorgan Chase worth $1.29M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2025 buy was JPMorgan Chase: 4,000 shares worth $1.29M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to TSMC in Q4 2025, an estimated $1.13M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2025 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $4.54M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Boston Scientific in Q4 2025, selling an estimated $5.39M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 28% of its $43.6M portfolio in Q4 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 77 new positions and closed 472 in Q4 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 91% quarter-over-quarter to $43.6M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2025, filed 17 Feb 2026.