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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
376
NIO
NIO
$11.7B
| $311K | 0.06% |
+40,800
| New | +$220K |
|
377
SL Green Realty
SLG
$3.77B
| $308K | 0.06% |
+5,151
| New | +$305K |
|
378
Donaldson
DCI
$11.1B
| $297K | 0.06% |
+3,633
| New | +$274K |
|
379
Boston Properties
BXP
$11.2B
| $297K | 0.06% |
+4,000
| New | +$282K |
|
380
Gold Fields
GFI
$29.2B
| $296K | 0.06% |
+7,050
| New | +$219K |
|
381
Universal Health Services
UHS
$10.1B
| $295K | 0.06% |
+1,445
| New | +$260K |
|
382
Ryanair
RYAAY
$31.1B
| $295K | 0.06% |
+4,900
| New | +$299K |
|
383
Extreme Networks
EXTR
$3.92B
| $292K | 0.06% |
14,153
-5,800
| -29% | -$115K |
|
384
The Greenbrier Companies
GBX
$1.6B
| $291K | 0.06% |
+6,300
| New | +$300K |
|
385
TE Connectivity
TEL
$62.1B
| $285K | 0.06% |
+1,300
| New | +$261K |
|
386
HNI Corp
HNI
$3.17B
| $285K | 0.06% |
+6,085
| New | +$288K |
|
387
Cincinnati Financial
CINF
$28.3B
| $285K | 0.06% |
1,800
-3,219
| -64% | -$489K |
|
|
UDMY
388
DELISTED
Udemy
UDMY
| $282K | 0.06% |
+40,184
| New | +$282K |
|
389
InterContinental Hotels
IHG
$23.9B
| $281K | 0.06% |
+2,316
| New | +$277K |
|
390
BorgWarner
BWA
$13B
| $280K | 0.06% |
6,377
-7,900
| -55% | -$316K |
|
391
Criteo
CRTO
$1.06B
| $280K | 0.06% |
+12,400
| New | +$290K |
|
392
Icon
ICLR
$13.9B
| $280K | 0.06% |
+1,600
| New | +$268K |
|
393
Liberty Broadband Class C
LBRDK
$4.72B
| $280K | 0.06% |
+4,400
| New | +$308K |
|
394
NOV
NOV
$7.11B
| $280K | 0.06% |
21,100
-7,500
| -26% | -$96.9K |
|
395
Kontoor Brands
KTB
$4.87B
| $279K | 0.06% |
+3,500
| New | +$251K |
|
|
VSXY
396
Victoria's Secret
VSXY
$7.1B
| $277K | 0.06% |
+10,200
| New | +$229K |
|
397
Collegium Pharmaceutical
COLL
$1.16B
| $275K | 0.06% |
+7,853
| New | +$273K |
|
398
Yum! Brands
YUM
$41.4B
| $274K | 0.06% |
+1,800
| New | +$265K |
|
|
CIVI
399
DELISTED
Civitas Resources
CIVI
| $273K | 0.06% |
8,400
-8,806
| -51% | -$282K |
|
400
Aveanna Healthcare
AVAH
$2.15B
| $270K | 0.06% |
30,400
+14,225
| +88% | +$89.9K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.