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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
351
RH
RH
$3.36B
| $366K | 0.07% |
1,800
-16,300
| -90% | -$3.54M |
|
352
Equity Lifestyle Properties
ELS
$12.8B
| $364K | 0.07% |
+6,000
| New | +$364K |
|
353
TSMC
TSM
$2.03T
| $363K | 0.07% |
1,300
-6,500
| -83% | -$1.59M |
|
354
Baxter International
BAX
$12.6B
| $362K | 0.07% |
+15,900
| New | +$403K |
|
355
CubeSmart
CUBE
$9.62B
| $362K | 0.07% |
+8,900
| New | +$363K |
|
356
Dominion Energy
D
$62.1B
| $361K | 0.07% |
+5,900
| New | +$351K |
|
357
Applied Digital
APLD
$7.61B
| $358K | 0.07% |
+15,600
| New | +$231K |
|
358
Alibaba
BABA
$276B
| $357K | 0.07% |
+2,000
| New | +$262K |
|
|
DVAX
359
DELISTED
Dynavax Technologies
DVAX
| $356K | 0.07% |
35,900
+22,000
| +158% | +$229K |
|
360
Royal Bank of Canada
RY
$295B
| $354K | 0.07% |
+2,400
| New | +$331K |
|
361
Knight Transportation
KNX
$11.4B
| $352K | 0.07% |
+8,900
| New | +$386K |
|
362
Roper Technologies
ROP
$38.7B
| $348K | 0.07% |
+697
| New | +$372K |
|
363
Box
BOX
$4.36B
| $347K | 0.07% |
10,761
-46,300
| -81% | -$1.5M |
|
364
WIX.com
WIX
$2.45B
| $337K | 0.07% |
+1,900
| New | +$286K |
|
365
Lazard
LAZ
$4.21B
| $336K | 0.07% |
+6,366
| New | +$343K |
|
366
Essential Properties Realty Trust
EPRT
$6.94B
| $330K | 0.07% |
+11,100
| New | +$340K |
|
367
Brookfield
BN
$104B
| $329K | 0.07% |
7,200
-8,250
| -53% | -$366K |
|
368
Sun Communities
SUI
$15.3B
| $325K | 0.07% |
+2,522
| New | +$319K |
|
369
nLIGHT
LASR
$3.57B
| $325K | 0.07% |
+10,961
| New | +$272K |
|
370
Porch Group
PRCH
$1.38B
| $324K | 0.07% |
19,300
+4,000
| +26% | +$61.4K |
|
371
Camden Property Trust
CPT
$11.4B
| $320K | 0.07% |
+3,000
| New | +$330K |
|
372
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce
CM
$109B
| $319K | 0.07% |
+3,997
| New | +$301K |
|
|
ONT
373
Onterris Inc
ONT
$740M
| $319K | 0.07% |
+11,600
| New | +$303K |
|
374
Willdan Group
WLDN
$1.06B
| $315K | 0.06% |
+3,263
| New | +$309K |
|
375
Transmedics
TMDX
$2.64B
| $314K | 0.06% |
2,800
-3,400
| -55% | -$398K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.