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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
326
Evertec
EVTC
$1.94B
| $400K | 0.08% |
+11,837
| New | +$413K |
|
327
The RealReal
REAL
$1.44B
| $400K | 0.08% |
+37,600
| New | +$278K |
|
328
Emcor
EME
$31.4B
| $398K | 0.08% |
+613
| New | +$372K |
|
329
Frontdoor
FTDR
$5.22B
| $397K | 0.08% |
5,900
-15,200
| -72% | -$925K |
|
330
GE Vernova
GEV
$251B
| $396K | 0.08% |
+644
| New | +$390K |
|
331
Tanger
SKT
$4.84B
| $396K | 0.08% |
+11,700
| New | +$381K |
|
332
Repligen
RGEN
$8.2B
| $394K | 0.08% |
+2,948
| New | +$358K |
|
333
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical
RARE
$2.56B
| $394K | 0.08% |
+13,100
| New | +$393K |
|
334
Cognex
CGNX
$10B
| $388K | 0.08% |
+8,571
| New | +$347K |
|
335
Ally Financial
ALLY
$13.4B
| $388K | 0.08% |
+9,898
| New | +$397K |
|
336
Zoetis
ZTS
$32.5B
| $380K | 0.08% |
+2,600
| New | +$393K |
|
337
Envista
NVST
$4.39B
| $379K | 0.08% |
18,600
-45,600
| -71% | -$937K |
|
338
Elanco Animal Health
ELAN
$12.7B
| $379K | 0.08% |
18,800
-92,100
| -83% | -$1.54M |
|
339
Diageo
DEO
$49.4B
| $378K | 0.08% |
+3,956
| New | +$415K |
|
340
Planet Labs
PL
$7.28B
| $375K | 0.08% |
28,897
-76,800
| -73% | -$592K |
|
341
C3.ai
AI
$1.38B
| $375K | 0.08% |
21,600
-30,600
| -59% | -$639K |
|
342
Caesars Entertainment
CZR
$6.1B
| $374K | 0.08% |
+13,857
| New | +$375K |
|
343
Match Group
MTCH
$9.16B
| $374K | 0.08% |
+10,600
| New | +$378K |
|
344
Smith & Nephew
SNN
$13.7B
| $374K | 0.08% |
+10,300
| New | +$355K |
|
345
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
$741B
| $372K | 0.08% |
+2,300
| New | +$371K |
|
|
FITB
346
Fifth Third Bancorp
FITB
$52.4B
| $371K | 0.08% |
+8,318
| New | +$364K |
|
347
GlobalFoundries
GFS
$26.9B
| $370K | 0.08% |
10,319
+4,819
| +88% | +$172K |
|
348
Super Micro Computer
SMCI
$18.4B
| $369K | 0.08% |
+7,700
| New | +$368K |
|
349
HP
HPQ
$25.9B
| $368K | 0.08% |
+13,500
| New | +$360K |
|
350
Freshworks
FRSH
$3.09B
| $367K | 0.08% |
31,207
+8,600
| +38% | +$116K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.