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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+18.4%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$633M
AUM Growth
+$28.6M
(+4.7%)
Cap. Flow
-$33.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-5.32%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
16.42%
Holding
930
New
364
Increased
66
Reduced
78
Closed
421
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$10.6M |
| 2 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$9.91M |
| 3 |
PepsiCo
PEP
|
+$7.84M |
| 4 |
MongoDB
MDB
|
+$7.49M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.36M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$13.6M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$9.96M |
| 3 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$8.1M |
| 4 |
SLB Ltd
SLB
|
+$7.99M |
| 5 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$6.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.15% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 15.1% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 13.9% |
| 4 | Industrials | 9.92% |
| 5 | Financials | 8.17% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
326
Occidental Petroleum
OXY
$54.6B
| $416K | 0.07% |
9,900
-40,200
| -80% | -$1.68M |
|
327
Canadian Pacific Kansas City
CP
$81.1B
| $412K | 0.07% |
5,200
-7,906
| -60% | -$608K |
|
328
Floor & Decor
FND
$5.99B
| $410K | 0.06% |
+5,400
| New | +$401K |
|
329
Apollo Global Management
APO
$71.6B
| $409K | 0.06% |
+2,886
| New | +$383K |
|
330
CONMED
CNMD
$1.31B
| $405K | 0.06% |
+7,779
| New | +$427K |
|
331
National Vision
EYE
$1.66B
| $405K | 0.06% |
+17,600
| New | +$300K |
|
332
IDEX
IEX
$16.6B
| $404K | 0.06% |
+2,300
| New | +$408K |
|
333
Global Payments
GPN
$23B
| $400K | 0.06% |
5,001
-9,599
| -66% | -$760K |
|
334
OneSpaWorld
OSW
$2.76B
| $398K | 0.06% |
+19,531
| New | +$358K |
|
|
TPC
335
Tutor Perini Cor
TPC
$4.51B
| $394K | 0.06% |
+8,425
| New | +$268K |
|
336
Dave & Buster's
PLAY
$363M
| $391K | 0.06% |
+13,005
| New | +$294K |
|
|
CTRA
337
DELISTED
Coterra Energy
CTRA
| $386K | 0.06% |
+15,200
| New | +$385K |
|
338
ThredUp
TDUP
$756M
| $382K | 0.06% |
+51,000
| New | +$300K |
|
339
Ulta Beauty
ULTA
$20.7B
| $380K | 0.06% |
812
-410
| -34% | -$170K |
|
340
Xcel Energy
XEL
$50.4B
| $375K | 0.06% |
+5,500
| New | +$381K |
|
|
JBTM
341
JBT Marel
JBTM
$7.37B
| $374K | 0.06% |
+3,110
| New | +$348K |
|
342
Polaris
PII
$4.25B
| $373K | 0.06% |
+9,184
| New | +$346K |
|
343
Universal Technical Institute
UTI
$2.12B
| $373K | 0.06% |
+11,010
| New | +$346K |
|
344
Gentex
GNTX
$4.88B
| $372K | 0.06% |
+16,900
| New | +$369K |
|
345
Snap
SNAP
$7.6B
| $370K | 0.06% |
+42,600
| New | +$354K |
|
346
Trupanion
TRUP
$1.08B
| $369K | 0.06% |
+6,666
| New | +$295K |
|
347
Waste Management
WM
$95.5B
| $366K | 0.06% |
+1,600
| New | +$371K |
|
348
Rockwell Automation
ROK
$51.9B
| $365K | 0.06% |
1,100
-5,400
| -83% | -$1.54M |
|
349
Under Armour Class C
UA
$2.95B
| $364K | 0.06% |
56,100
+8,600
| +18% | +$50.7K |
|
350
AES
AES
$10.6B
| $364K | 0.06% |
34,600
-68,000
| -66% | -$728K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q2 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q2 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 930 positions worth $633M, up 4.7% from $604M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 16% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $33.7M in Q2 2025, closing 421 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was Cisco, an estimated $13.6M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, down from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Wells Fargo worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q2 2025 buy was Wells Fargo: 137,400 shares worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Apple in Q2 2025, an estimated $10.6M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q2 2025 reduction was Philip Morris, cutting an estimated $5.55M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Cisco in Q2 2025, selling an estimated $13.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 16% of its $633M portfolio in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 364 new positions and closed 421 in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 4.7% quarter-over-quarter to $633M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q2 2025, filed 14 Aug 2025.