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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
301
GSK
GSK
$108B
| $444K | 0.09% |
+10,295
| New | +$402K |
|
302
SolarEdge
SEDG
$2.44B
| $440K | 0.09% |
11,900
+1,800
| +18% | +$53.8K |
|
303
Littelfuse
LFUS
$9.91B
| $438K | 0.09% |
+1,691
| New | +$423K |
|
304
DNOW Inc
DNOW
$2.53B
| $437K | 0.09% |
+28,660
| New | +$433K |
|
305
Thor Industries
THO
$4.13B
| $435K | 0.09% |
+4,200
| New | +$423K |
|
306
Simpson Manufacturing
SSD
$8.16B
| $435K | 0.09% |
+2,600
| New | +$465K |
|
307
Micron Technology
MU
$927B
| $435K | 0.09% |
2,600
-28,900
| -92% | -$3.7M |
|
308
Exelon
EXC
$48.4B
| $433K | 0.09% |
+9,625
| New | +$423K |
|
309
California Resources
CRC
$4.38B
| $432K | 0.09% |
8,122
+1,322
| +19% | +$66.2K |
|
310
V2X
VVX
$2.82B
| $428K | 0.09% |
+7,366
| New | +$394K |
|
311
Helios Technologies
HLIO
$2.56B
| $427K | 0.09% |
+8,200
| New | +$383K |
|
312
Valaris
VAL
$5.16B
| $426K | 0.09% |
8,726
-7,187
| -45% | -$351K |
|
313
Descartes Systems
DSGX
$6.48B
| $425K | 0.09% |
+4,507
| New | +$461K |
|
314
Rayonier
RYN
$6.64B
| $425K | 0.09% |
+16,781
| New | +$402K |
|
315
Newmark Group
NMRK
$2.88B
| $421K | 0.09% |
+22,580
| New | +$366K |
|
316
Construction Partners
ROAD
$6.03B
| $419K | 0.09% |
+3,300
| New | +$377K |
|
317
Trex
TREX
$4.57B
| $418K | 0.09% |
8,093
-3,985
| -33% | -$243K |
|
318
MSC Industrial Direct
MSM
$6.97B
| $418K | 0.09% |
+4,538
| New | +$405K |
|
319
Hayward Holdings
HAYW
$3.28B
| $417K | 0.09% |
27,600
-3,200
| -10% | -$49K |
|
320
EOG Resources
EOG
$74.4B
| $415K | 0.08% |
3,700
-10,509
| -74% | -$1.25M |
|
321
Bank of Montreal
BMO
$127B
| $413K | 0.08% |
+3,174
| New | +$376K |
|
322
Boston Beer
SAM
$1.93B
| $411K | 0.08% |
+1,942
| New | +$413K |
|
323
C.H. Robinson
CHRW
$20B
| $410K | 0.08% |
+3,100
| New | +$364K |
|
|
SEI
324
Solaris Energy Infrastructure
SEI
$2.9B
| $408K | 0.08% |
+10,200
| New | +$319K |
|
325
Hudbay
HBM
$9.67B
| $402K | 0.08% |
26,500
-14,882
| -36% | -$170K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.