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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-3.38%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$43.6M
AUM Growth
-$446M
(-91%)
Cap. Flow
-$442M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-1,013.48%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
28.16%
Holding
580
New
77
Increased
4
Reduced
27
Closed
472
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
|
+$1.24M |
| 2 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$1.13M |
| 3 |
NuScale Power
SMR
|
+$1.11M |
| 4 |
Trade Desk
TTD
|
+$1.02M |
| 5 |
Microchip Technology
MCHP
|
+$910K |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.39M |
| 2 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.35M |
| 3 |
CRWV
CoreWeave
CRWV
|
+$4.97M |
| 4 |
Robinhood
HOOD
|
+$4.87M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.81M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.63% |
| 2 | Healthcare | 13.02% |
| 3 | Communication Services | 12.94% |
| 4 | Consumer Discretionary | 11.11% |
| 5 | Industrials | 9.67% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
276
Comfort Systems
FIX
$57.2B
| – | – |
-1,141
| Closed | -$942K |
|
277
Floor & Decor
FND
$6.14B
| – | – |
-8,400
| Closed | -$619K |
|
278
Fox Class B
FOX
$21.7B
| – | – |
-13,195
| Closed | -$756K |
|
279
Fox Class A
FOXA
$24.2B
| – | – |
-30,191
| Closed | -$1.9M |
|
280
JFrog
FROG
$9.26B
| – | – |
-21,100
| Closed | -$999K |
|
281
Freshworks
FRSH
$3.09B
| – | – |
-31,207
| Closed | -$367K |
|
282
First Solar
FSLR
$21.8B
| – | – |
-12,300
| Closed | -$2.71M |
|
283
Federal Signal
FSS
$7.19B
| – | – |
-7,100
| Closed | -$845K |
|
284
FTAI Aviation
FTAI
$21.8B
| – | – |
-3,400
| Closed | -$567K |
|
285
Frontdoor
FTDR
$5.22B
| – | – |
-5,900
| Closed | -$397K |
|
286
Fortive
FTV
$19.5B
| – | – |
-57,600
| Closed | -$2.82M |
|
287
Genpact
G
$5.87B
| – | – |
-34,021
| Closed | -$1.43M |
|
288
The Greenbrier Companies
GBX
$1.6B
| – | – |
-6,300
| Closed | -$291K |
|
289
Gevo
GEVO
$363M
| – | – |
-23,200
| Closed | -$45.5K |
|
290
Gold Fields
GFI
$29.2B
| – | – |
-7,050
| Closed | -$296K |
|
291
GlobalFoundries
GFS
$26.9B
| – | – |
-10,319
| Closed | -$370K |
|
292
Gilead Sciences
GILD
$167B
| – | – |
-19,036
| Closed | -$2.11M |
|
293
GameStop
GME
$9.94B
| – | – |
-81,700
| Closed | -$2.23M |
|
294
Graphic Packaging
GPK
$3.45B
| – | – |
-62,139
| Closed | -$1.22M |
|
295
Global Payments
GPN
$23.9B
| – | – |
-2,500
| Closed | -$208K |
|
|
GRMN
296
Garmin
GRMN
$48.9B
| – | – |
-4,773
| Closed | -$1.18M |
|
297
Groupon
GRPN
$1.07B
| – | – |
-34,100
| Closed | -$796K |
|
298
GSK
GSK
$108B
| – | – |
-10,295
| Closed | -$444K |
|
299
Guidewire Software
GWRE
$13.3B
| – | – |
-9,200
| Closed | -$2.11M |
|
300
Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital
HASI
$4.95B
| – | – |
-15,802
| Closed | -$485K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 580 positions worth $43.6M, down 91% from $490M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 28% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $442M in Q4 2025, closing 472 positions and reducing 27 holdings. Its most notable exit was Boston Scientific, an estimated $5.39M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, down from 27% a quarter earlier, followed by Healthcare and Communication Services.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in JPMorgan Chase worth $1.29M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2025 buy was JPMorgan Chase: 4,000 shares worth $1.29M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to TSMC in Q4 2025, an estimated $1.13M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2025 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $4.54M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Boston Scientific in Q4 2025, selling an estimated $5.39M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 28% of its $43.6M portfolio in Q4 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 77 new positions and closed 472 in Q4 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 91% quarter-over-quarter to $43.6M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2025, filed 17 Feb 2026.