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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $81.9M
1-Year Est. Return 26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow %
-33.56%
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
MSFT icon
Microsoft
MSFT
+$6.22M
2
META icon
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
+$6.1M
3
BSX icon
Boston Scientific
BSX
+$5.72M
4
ACN icon
Accenture
ACN
+$5.66M
5
EXPE icon
Expedia Group
EXPE
+$4.52M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$14.8M
2
ORCL icon
Oracle
ORCL
+$10.3M
3
DIS icon
Walt Disney
DIS
+$9.89M
4
AAPL icon
Apple
AAPL
+$9.74M
5
WFC icon
Wells Fargo
WFC
+$8.86M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 26.64%
2 Consumer Discretionary 16.12%
3 Healthcare 15.86%
4 Industrials 12.65%
5 Financials 6.86%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
AEG icon
276
Aegon
AEG
$13.6B
$511K 0.1%
+64,000
New +$478K
PRGS icon
277
Progress Software
PRGS
$1.66B
$510K 0.1%
11,606
+7,487
+182% +$345K
QTWO icon
278
Q2 Holdings
QTWO
$3.7B
$508K 0.1%
+7,022
New +$577K
PEB icon
279
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust
PEB
$2.19B
$506K 0.1%
+44,400
New +$478K
NRG icon
280
NRG Energy
NRG
$26.9B
$502K 0.1%
3,100
-6,475
-68% -$1.01M
ALB icon
281
Albemarle
ALB
$13.3B
$499K 0.1%
+6,150
New +$474K
CPB icon
282
Campbell Soup
CPB
$6.8B
$493K 0.1%
15,600
-79,400
-84% -$2.57M
UPWK icon
283
Upwork
UPWK
$1.21B
$491K 0.1%
26,450
-26,900
-50% -$401K
EYE icon
284
National Vision
EYE
$1.75B
$490K 0.1%
16,800
-800
-5% -$19.6K
APTV icon
285
Aptiv
APTV
$12.6B
$488K 0.1%
5,656
+2,400
+74% +$181K
BJRI icon
286
BJ's Restaurants
BJRI
$1.45B
$485K 0.1%
+15,900
New +$567K
HASI icon
287
Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital
HASI
$4.95B
$485K 0.1%
+15,802
New +$436K
DVN icon
288
Devon Energy
DVN
$49.2B
$484K 0.1%
13,800
-20,300
-60% -$691K
DK icon
289
Delek US
DK
$3.85B
$481K 0.1%
+14,900
New +$389K
LII icon
290
Lennox International
LII
$18.9B
$476K 0.1%
+900
New +$526K
VRNT
291
DELISTED
Verint Systems
VRNT
$476K 0.1%
23,502
-24,300
-51% -$500K
AXP icon
292
American Express
AXP
$227B
$465K 0.1%
+1,400
New +$445K
W icon
293
Wayfair
W
$12.5B
$465K 0.09%
5,200
-13,411
-72% -$982K
EHC icon
294
Encompass Health
EHC
$11.5B
$462K 0.09%
3,635
-16,869
-82% -$2.01M
TFC icon
295
Truist Financial
TFC
$64.7B
$457K 0.09%
+10,000
New +$451K
ARQT icon
296
Arcutis Biotherapeutics
ARQT
$3.56B
$452K 0.09%
24,000
+10,100
+73% +$159K
CROX icon
297
Crocs
CROX
$6.76B
$451K 0.09%
+5,396
New +$493K
APA icon
298
APA Corp
APA
$12.4B
$449K 0.09%
18,500
-8,300
-31% -$175K
DUK icon
299
Duke Energy
DUK
$101B
$446K 0.09%
+3,600
New +$437K
EFOR
300
Everforth Inc
EFOR
$954M
$445K 0.09%
+9,400
New +$480K
10 11
12
13 14

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.