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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
251
Humana
HUM
$46.7B
| $587K | 0.12% |
+2,256
| New | +$593K |
|
252
Sprouts Farmers Market
SFM
$7.31B
| $577K | 0.12% |
5,305
-200
| -4% | -$29.1K |
|
|
APLS
253
DELISTED
Apellis Pharmaceuticals
APLS
| $577K | 0.12% |
+25,500
| New | +$595K |
|
254
Xeris Biopharma Holdings
XERS
$1.42B
| $576K | 0.12% |
+70,800
| New | +$470K |
|
255
Darling Ingredients
DAR
$9.28B
| $571K | 0.12% |
18,500
-800
| -4% | -$26.7K |
|
256
FTAI Aviation
FTAI
$21.8B
| $567K | 0.12% |
+3,400
| New | +$484K |
|
257
TTM Technologies
TTMI
$11.3B
| $566K | 0.12% |
9,822
-11,700
| -54% | -$544K |
|
258
Kohl's
KSS
$2.16B
| $563K | 0.11% |
36,600
-129,784
| -78% | -$1.73M |
|
259
Iridium Communications
IRDM
$4.81B
| $555K | 0.11% |
+31,800
| New | +$786K |
|
260
Dentsply Sirona
XRAY
$2.7B
| $553K | 0.11% |
+43,600
| New | +$633K |
|
261
Amplitude
AMPL
$1.16B
| $552K | 0.11% |
51,500
+33,220
| +182% | +$394K |
|
262
Cirrus Logic
CRUS
$6.87B
| $547K | 0.11% |
+4,365
| New | +$486K |
|
263
NiSource
NI
$21.9B
| $541K | 0.11% |
+12,500
| New | +$518K |
|
264
Enphase Energy
ENPH
$4.79B
| $541K | 0.11% |
+15,288
| New | +$568K |
|
|
CWAN
265
DELISTED
Clearwater Analytics
CWAN
| $541K | 0.11% |
30,000
-5,700
| -16% | -$116K |
|
266
CRH
CRH
$69.1B
| $540K | 0.11% |
+4,500
| New | +$475K |
|
267
FIVE9
FIVN
$2.08B
| $539K | 0.11% |
22,275
-24,651
| -53% | -$652K |
|
268
Clear Secure
YOU
$5.43B
| $535K | 0.11% |
+16,037
| New | +$532K |
|
269
Ecolab
ECL
$79.6B
| $529K | 0.11% |
+1,930
| New | +$524K |
|
270
Roku
ROKU
$21.3B
| $524K | 0.11% |
+5,237
| New | +$483K |
|
271
Resideo Technologies
REZI
$5.55B
| $522K | 0.11% |
12,100
+300
| +3% | +$9.37K |
|
272
EXL Service
EXLS
$4.66B
| $520K | 0.11% |
+11,800
| New | +$511K |
|
273
RTX Corp
RTX
$295B
| $519K | 0.11% |
+3,100
| New | +$481K |
|
274
Yum China
YUMC
$15.6B
| $517K | 0.11% |
12,040
-20,230
| -63% | -$920K |
|
275
Nexstar Media Group
NXST
$5.92B
| $514K | 0.11% |
+2,600
| New | +$508K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.