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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-3.38%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$43.6M
AUM Growth
-$446M
(-91%)
Cap. Flow
-$442M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-1,013.48%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
28.16%
Holding
580
New
77
Increased
4
Reduced
27
Closed
472
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
|
+$1.24M |
| 2 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$1.13M |
| 3 |
NuScale Power
SMR
|
+$1.11M |
| 4 |
Trade Desk
TTD
|
+$1.02M |
| 5 |
Microchip Technology
MCHP
|
+$910K |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.39M |
| 2 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.35M |
| 3 |
CRWV
CoreWeave
CRWV
|
+$4.97M |
| 4 |
Robinhood
HOOD
|
+$4.87M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.81M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.63% |
| 2 | Healthcare | 13.02% |
| 3 | Communication Services | 12.94% |
| 4 | Consumer Discretionary | 11.11% |
| 5 | Industrials | 9.67% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
226
Delta Air Lines
DAL
$58.6B
| – | – |
-70,300
| Closed | -$3.99M |
|
227
Darling Ingredients
DAR
$9.28B
| – | – |
-18,500
| Closed | -$571K |
|
228
Dropbox
DBX
$7.44B
| – | – |
-25,700
| Closed | -$776K |
|
229
Donaldson
DCI
$11.1B
| – | – |
-3,633
| Closed | -$297K |
|
230
DuPont de Nemours
DD
$19.1B
| – | – |
-7,634
| Closed | -$747K |
|
231
Deckers Outdoor
DECK
$14.1B
| – | – |
-27,800
| Closed | -$2.82M |
|
232
Diageo
DEO
$49.2B
| – | – |
-3,956
| Closed | -$378K |
|
233
Dollar General
DG
$27.8B
| – | – |
-9,974
| Closed | -$1.03M |
|
234
D.R. Horton
DHI
$42.2B
| – | – |
-6,600
| Closed | -$1.12M |
|
235
Delek US
DK
$3.85B
| – | – |
-14,900
| Closed | -$481K |
|
236
DraftKings
DKNG
$12.2B
| – | – |
-36,600
| Closed | -$1.37M |
|
237
DNOW Inc
DNOW
$2.55B
| – | – |
-28,660
| Closed | -$437K |
|
238
Doximity
DOCS
$3.85B
| – | – |
-30,300
| Closed | -$2.22M |
|
|
DOCU
239
DocuSign
DOCU
$10.6B
| – | – |
-32,410
| Closed | -$2.34M |
|
|
DOO
240
Bombardier Recreational Products
DOO
$4.61B
| – | – |
-3,359
| Closed | -$204K |
|
241
Dover
DOV
$27.4B
| – | – |
-13,774
| Closed | -$2.3M |
|
242
Amdocs
DOX
$5.87B
| – | – |
-10,300
| Closed | -$845K |
|
243
Descartes Systems
DSGX
$6.46B
| – | – |
-4,507
| Closed | -$425K |
|
244
Duke Energy
DUK
$102B
| – | – |
-3,600
| Closed | -$446K |
|
|
DVAX
245
DELISTED
Dynavax Technologies
DVAX
| – | – |
-35,900
| Closed | -$356K |
|
246
Devon Energy
DVN
$49.2B
| – | – |
-13,800
| Closed | -$484K |
|
247
Electronic Arts
EA
$52.4B
| – | – |
-11,905
| Closed | -$2.4M |
|
248
Brinker International
EAT
$8.41B
| – | – |
-10,900
| Closed | -$1.38M |
|
249
Ecolab
ECL
$79B
| – | – |
-1,930
| Closed | -$529K |
|
250
Euronet Worldwide
EEFT
$3.13B
| – | – |
-9,200
| Closed | -$808K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 580 positions worth $43.6M, down 91% from $490M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 28% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $442M in Q4 2025, closing 472 positions and reducing 27 holdings. Its most notable exit was Boston Scientific, an estimated $5.39M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, down from 27% a quarter earlier, followed by Healthcare and Communication Services.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in JPMorgan Chase worth $1.29M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2025 buy was JPMorgan Chase: 4,000 shares worth $1.29M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to TSMC in Q4 2025, an estimated $1.13M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2025 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $4.54M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Boston Scientific in Q4 2025, selling an estimated $5.39M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 28% of its $43.6M portfolio in Q4 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 77 new positions and closed 472 in Q4 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 91% quarter-over-quarter to $43.6M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2025, filed 17 Feb 2026.