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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
226
Paycom
PAYC
$7.56B
| $675K | 0.14% |
3,244
-798
| -20% | -$180K |
|
227
Appian
APPN
$2B
| $663K | 0.14% |
+21,692
| New | +$652K |
|
228
Commault Systems
CVLT
$5.1B
| $661K | 0.14% |
3,500
+900
| +35% | +$162K |
|
229
MGIC Investment
MTG
$6.42B
| $657K | 0.13% |
+23,165
| New | +$631K |
|
|
SEE
230
DELISTED
Sealed Air
SEE
| $654K | 0.13% |
18,499
-8,500
| -31% | -$271K |
|
231
Zeta Global
ZETA
$5.46B
| $652K | 0.13% |
+32,800
| New | +$589K |
|
232
Shopify
SHOP
$172B
| $639K | 0.13% |
4,300
-24,200
| -85% | -$3.28M |
|
233
Bio-Rad Laboratories Class A
BIO
$8.79B
| $638K | 0.13% |
+2,275
| New | +$619K |
|
234
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
$260B
| $634K | 0.13% |
+3,114
| New | +$596K |
|
235
Viking Therapeutics
VKTX
$3.91B
| $633K | 0.13% |
24,100
+7,900
| +49% | +$236K |
|
236
DexCom
DXCM
$29.2B
| $633K | 0.13% |
+9,400
| New | +$744K |
|
237
nCino
NCNO
$2.05B
| $632K | 0.13% |
23,309
+14,210
| +156% | +$415K |
|
238
American Homes 4 Rent
AMH
$12.2B
| $628K | 0.13% |
+18,900
| New | +$659K |
|
239
Arista Networks
ANET
$211B
| $627K | 0.13% |
+4,300
| New | +$554K |
|
240
Arlo Technologies
ARLO
$1.57B
| $622K | 0.13% |
+36,700
| New | +$624K |
|
241
Floor & Decor
FND
$6.2B
| $619K | 0.13% |
8,400
+3,000
| +56% | +$246K |
|
242
Progyny
PGNY
$2.38B
| $618K | 0.13% |
+28,700
| New | +$652K |
|
243
UDR
UDR
$12.7B
| $615K | 0.13% |
+16,500
| New | +$644K |
|
|
SF
244
Stifel
SF
$12.7B
| $613K | 0.13% |
+8,100
| New | +$606K |
|
245
Mattel
MAT
$4.46B
| $608K | 0.12% |
+36,124
| New | +$658K |
|
|
PR
246
Permian Resources
PR
$16.5B
| $607K | 0.12% |
47,400
-800
| -2% | -$11K |
|
247
Matsons
MATX
$6.16B
| $606K | 0.12% |
+6,150
| New | +$657K |
|
248
Red Rock Resorts
RRR
$3.85B
| $598K | 0.12% |
+9,800
| New | +$577K |
|
249
HealthEquity
HQY
$8.44B
| $597K | 0.12% |
6,300
-13,200
| -68% | -$1.24M |
|
250
Blue Bird Corp
BLBD
$2.31B
| $593K | 0.12% |
+10,300
| New | +$537K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.