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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-3.29%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$464M
AUM Growth
-$2.1M
Cap. Flow
+$13.9M
Cap. Flow %
2.99%
Top 10 Hldgs %
69%
Holding
51
New
4
Increased
31
Reduced
7
Closed
–

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
SPYM
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF
SPYM
+$1.75M
2
SCHO icon
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
+$1.51M
3
GSLC icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
+$1.44M
4
MTUM icon
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
+$970K
5
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$949K

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$1.85M
2
MDY icon
State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust
MDY
+$468K
3
BNL icon
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
+$192K
4
VTEB icon
Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund
VTEB
+$156K
5
REZ icon
iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF
REZ
+$140K

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Real Estate 0.81%
2 Technology 0.27%
3 Industrials 0.12%
4 Healthcare 0.06%
5 Consumer Discretionary 0.05%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
SPY icon
26
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$774B
$1.42M 0.31%
3,319
-4,161
-56% -$1.85M
ACWX icon
27
iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF
ACWX
$11.3B
$1.29M 0.28%
27,401
+9,379
+52% +$459K
IXUS icon
28
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
IXUS
$57.4B
$1.13M 0.24%
18,890
+313
+2% +$19.5K
IWD icon
29
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
IWD
$81.9B
$939K 0.2%
6,187
-161
-3% -$25.5K
GBIL icon
30
Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF
GBIL
$7.68B
$788K 0.17%
7,873
+431
+6% +$43.1K
GVI icon
31
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
$3.74B
$767K 0.17%
7,574
+1,085
+17% +$111K
AAPL icon
32
Apple
AAPL
$4.9T
$719K 0.16%
4,199
+1
+0% +$183
IWM icon
33
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$82.2B
$581K 0.13%
3,289
-95
-3% -$17.8K
MSFT icon
34
Microsoft
MSFT
$2.93T
$539K 0.12%
1,707
+71
+4% +$23.5K
IJR icon
35
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
IJR
$110B
$508K 0.11%
5,388
– –
VGIT icon
36
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF
VGIT
$41.9B
$462K 0.1%
+8,088
New +$469K
SPMD icon
37
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 400 Mid Cap ETF
SPMD
$18.1B
$454K 0.1%
+10,379
New +$477K
AVB icon
38
AvalonBay Communities
AVB
$27.4B
$416K 0.09%
2,423
– –
FLRN icon
39
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF
FLRN
$3.07B
$337K 0.07%
10,954
+1,235
+13% +$37.8K
OEF icon
40
iShares S&P 100 ETF
OEF
$20.1B
$323K 0.07%
1,610
– –
ACWI icon
41
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
ACWI
$32.8B
$300K 0.06%
3,253
– –
MAA icon
42
Mid-America Apartment Communities
MAA
$15.5B
$298K 0.06%
2,318
– –
IWN icon
43
iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF
IWN
$14.4B
$288K 0.06%
+2,127
New +$305K
TT icon
44
Trane Technologies
TT
$104B
$276K 0.06%
1,360
– –
AIRC
45
DELISTED
Apartment Income REIT Corp.
AIRC
$273K 0.06%
8,899
– –
ETN icon
46
Eaton
ETN
$155B
$261K 0.06%
1,226
+113
+10% +$24.4K
VTI icon
47
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
$658B
$261K 0.06%
1,229
+60
+5% +$13.3K
UNH icon
48
UnitedHealth
UNH
$387B
$257K 0.06%
509
– –
IRT icon
49
Independence Realty Trust
IRT
$3.92B
$234K 0.05%
16,645
– –
HD icon
50
Home Depot
HD
$338B
$233K 0.05%
772
+2
+0.3% +$643
1
2
3

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High Probability Advisors's Q3 2023 Portfolio in Review

As of Q3 2023, High Probability Advisors held 51 positions worth $464M, down 0.45% from $466M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 69% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors's Q3 2023 filing shows 4 new, 31 increased and 7 reduced positions. Its largest new stake was State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF: 33,517 shares worth $1.68M. The largest sale was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, an estimated $1.85M.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 0.81% of assets, down from 0.94% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Industrials.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q3 2023 buy was State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF: 33,517 shares worth $1.68M.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF in Q3 2023, an estimated $1.51M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q3 2023 reduction was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, cutting an estimated $1.85M.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 69% of its $464M portfolio in Q3 2023.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 4 new positions and closed 0 in Q3 2023.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value fell 0.45% quarter-over-quarter to $464M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q3 2023, filed 14 Nov 2024.