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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+8.56%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$365M
AUM Growth
+$45.8M
Cap. Flow
+$20.3M
Cap. Flow %
5.55%
Top 10 Hldgs %
68.24%
Holding
45
New
3
Increased
25
Reduced
8
Closed
1

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
DIHP icon
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
+$10.4M
2
MTUM icon
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
+$7.68M
3
AVEM icon
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
+$4.26M
4
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$1.71M
5
GSIE icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
+$1.13M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
DEEF icon
Xtrackers FTSE Developed ex US Multifactor ETF
DEEF
+$4.64M
2
IVLU icon
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
+$1.09M
3
SHYG icon
iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
SHYG
+$1.05M
4
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$949K
5
IUSV icon
iShares Core S&P US Value ETF
IUSV
+$367K

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Real Estate 1.21%
2 Technology 0.21%
3 Consumer Discretionary 0.06%
4 Financials 0.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
IWD icon
26
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
IWD
$81.9B
$954K 0.26%
6,291
+81
+1% +$12.1K
ACWX icon
27
iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF
ACWX
$11.3B
$819K 0.22%
17,994
+6,687
+59% +$293K
IXUS icon
28
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
IXUS
$57.4B
$810K 0.22%
13,995
+688
+5% +$38.4K
IWM icon
29
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$82.2B
$587K 0.16%
3,366
+29
+0.9% +$5.16K
MDY icon
30
State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust
MDY
$27.3B
$521K 0.14%
1,176
+15
+1% +$6.63K
AAPL icon
31
Apple
AAPL
$4.9T
$490K 0.13%
3,768
+412
+12% +$58.9K
GVI icon
32
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
$3.74B
$437K 0.12%
4,267
+124
+3% +$12.7K
AVB icon
33
AvalonBay Communities
AVB
$27.4B
$391K 0.11%
2,423
– –
GBIL icon
34
Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF
GBIL
$7.68B
$382K 0.1%
+3,836
New +$383K
MAA icon
35
Mid-America Apartment Communities
MAA
$15.5B
$364K 0.1%
2,318
– –
IJR icon
36
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
IJR
$110B
$348K 0.1%
3,678
– –
AIRC
37
DELISTED
Apartment Income REIT Corp.
AIRC
$305K 0.08%
8,899
– –
MSFT icon
38
Microsoft
MSFT
$2.93T
$289K 0.08%
1,207
+144
+14% +$34.6K
IRT icon
39
Independence Realty Trust
IRT
$3.92B
$281K 0.08%
16,645
– –
ACWI icon
40
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
ACWI
$32.8B
$276K 0.08%
3,253
– –
OEF icon
41
iShares S&P 100 ETF
OEF
$20.1B
$275K 0.08%
1,610
– –
HD icon
42
Home Depot
HD
$338B
$224K 0.06%
+708
New +$216K
HIG icon
43
Hartford Financial Services
HIG
$38.4B
$209K 0.06%
+2,750
New +$198K
FLRN icon
44
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF
FLRN
$3.07B
$200K 0.05%
6,586
-918
-12% -$27.8K
DEEF icon
45
Xtrackers FTSE Developed ex US Multifactor ETF
DEEF
$54.6M
– –
-207,677
Closed -$4.64M
1
2

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High Probability Advisors's Q4 2022 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2022, High Probability Advisors held 45 positions worth $365M, up 14% from $319M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 68% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $20.3M of net new capital in Q4 2022, opening 3 new positions and adding to 25 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF: 3,836 shares worth $382K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 1.2% of assets, down from 1.4% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Consumer Discretionary.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF, an estimated $1.09M trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q4 2022 buy was Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF: 3,836 shares worth $382K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to Dimensional International High Profitability ETF in Q4 2022, an estimated $10.4M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q4 2022 reduction was iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF, cutting an estimated $1.09M.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited Xtrackers FTSE Developed ex US Multifactor ETF in Q4 2022, selling an estimated $4.64M.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 68% of its $365M portfolio in Q4 2022.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 3 new positions and closed 1 in Q4 2022.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 14% quarter-over-quarter to $365M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q4 2022, filed 14 Nov 2024.