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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-6.23%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$319M
AUM Growth
+$3.72M
Cap. Flow
+$25.9M
Cap. Flow %
8.12%
Top 10 Hldgs %
66.65%
Holding
46
New
2
Increased
29
Reduced
5
Closed
4

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
DIHP icon
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
+$3.95M
2
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$3.61M
3
GSLC icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
+$2.16M
4
GSIE icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
+$1.79M
5
SCHO icon
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
+$1.69M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
BNL icon
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
+$1.5M
2
DEEF icon
Xtrackers FTSE Developed ex US Multifactor ETF
DEEF
+$1.38M
3
FLRN icon
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF
FLRN
+$594K
4
UNH icon
UnitedHealth
UNH
+$342K
5
VGSH icon
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
VGSH
+$299K

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Real Estate 1.37%
2 Technology 0.22%
3 Healthcare 0%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
IWV icon
26
iShares Russell 3000 ETF
IWV
$19.6B
$1.32M 0.41%
6,369
+4,479
+237% +$1.03M
IWD icon
27
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
IWD
$81.9B
$844K 0.26%
6,210
– –
IXUS icon
28
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
IXUS
$57.4B
$678K 0.21%
13,307
+2,279
+21% +$129K
IWM icon
29
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$82.2B
$550K 0.17%
3,337
– –
MDY icon
30
State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust
MDY
$27.3B
$466K 0.15%
1,161
+118
+11% +$52.1K
AAPL icon
31
Apple
AAPL
$4.9T
$464K 0.15%
3,356
+2
+0.1% +$314
ACWX icon
32
iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF
ACWX
$11.3B
$452K 0.14%
+11,307
New +$503K
AVB icon
33
AvalonBay Communities
AVB
$27.4B
$446K 0.14%
2,423
+1,101
+83% +$222K
GVI icon
34
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
$3.74B
$421K 0.13%
4,143
+194
+5% +$20.4K
MAA icon
35
Mid-America Apartment Communities
MAA
$15.5B
$359K 0.11%
2,318
+619
+36% +$107K
AIRC
36
DELISTED
Apartment Income REIT Corp.
AIRC
$344K 0.11%
+8,899
New +$377K
IJR icon
37
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
IJR
$110B
$321K 0.1%
3,678
– –
IRT icon
38
Independence Realty Trust
IRT
$3.92B
$278K 0.09%
16,645
– –
OEF icon
39
iShares S&P 100 ETF
OEF
$20.1B
$262K 0.08%
1,610
– –
ACWI icon
40
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
ACWI
$32.8B
$253K 0.08%
3,253
– –
MSFT icon
41
Microsoft
MSFT
$2.93T
$248K 0.08%
1,063
-285
-21% -$75.3K
FLRN icon
42
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF
FLRN
$3.07B
$227K 0.07%
7,504
-19,610
-72% -$594K
PFE icon
43
Pfizer
PFE
$143B
– –
-3,827
Closed -$201K
UNH icon
44
UnitedHealth
UNH
$387B
– –
-665
Closed -$342K
VGSH icon
45
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
VGSH
$29.3B
– –
-5,074
Closed -$299K
VTI icon
46
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
$658B
– –
-1,501
Closed -$284K
1
2

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High Probability Advisors's Q3 2022 Portfolio in Review

As of Q3 2022, High Probability Advisors held 46 positions worth $319M, up 1.2% from $316M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 67% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $25.9M of net new capital in Q3 2022, opening 2 new positions and adding to 29 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF: 11,307 shares worth $452K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 1.4% of assets, down from 2% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Healthcare.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was Broadstone Net Lease, an estimated $1.5M trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q3 2022 buy was iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF: 11,307 shares worth $452K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to Dimensional International High Profitability ETF in Q3 2022, an estimated $3.95M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q3 2022 reduction was Broadstone Net Lease, cutting an estimated $1.5M.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited UnitedHealth in Q3 2022, selling an estimated $342K.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 67% of its $319M portfolio in Q3 2022.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 2 new positions and closed 4 in Q3 2022.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 1.2% quarter-over-quarter to $319M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q3 2022, filed 14 Nov 2024.