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HPA
High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings
AUM
$935M
1-Year Est. Return
18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+5.54%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$190M
AUM Growth
+$26.2M
(+16%)
Cap. Flow
+$17M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
8.96%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
79.68%
Holding
37
New
4
Increased
22
Reduced
2
Closed
3
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
|
+$4.29M |
| 2 |
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
|
+$4.05M |
| 3 |
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
|
+$2.62M |
| 4 |
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
|
+$1.22M |
| 5 |
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
|
+$1.18M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
VGSH
|
+$1.31M |
| 2 |
Xtrackers Russell US Multifactor ETF
DEUS
|
+$496K |
| 3 |
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
ACWI
|
+$390K |
| 4 |
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
TLT
|
+$223K |
| 5 |
iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF
TLH
|
+$218K |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Estate | 2.2% |
| 2 | Technology | 0.32% |
| 3 | Consumer Discretionary | 0.11% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
26
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
$3.74B
| $387K | 0.2% |
3,364
+438
| +15% | +$50.9K |
|
27
iShares Russell 3000 ETF
IWV
$19.6B
| $335K | 0.18% |
1,414
| – | – |
|
|
28
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
ACWI
$32.8B
| $309K | 0.16% |
3,253
-4,150
| -56% | -$390K |
|
29
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
IJR
$110B
| $303K | 0.16% |
2,792
| – | – |
|
30
iShares S&P 100 ETF
OEF
$20.1B
| $290K | 0.15% |
1,610
| – | – |
|
31
Schwab U.S Small- Cap ETF
SCHA
$22.7B
| $220K | 0.12% |
+8,840
| New | +$217K |
|
32
Home Depot
HD
$338B
| $214K | 0.11% |
+699
| New | +$193K |
|
33
Microsoft
MSFT
$2.93T
| $203K | 0.11% |
+861
| New | +$200K |
|
34
Independence Realty Trust
IRT
$3.92B
| $166K | 0.09% |
10,954
| – | – |
|
|
35
iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF
TLH
$11.1B
| – | – |
-1,369
| Closed | -$218K |
|
|
36
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
TLT
$42.1B
| – | – |
-1,413
| Closed | -$223K |
|
|
37
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
VGSH
$29.3B
| – | – |
-21,215
| Closed | -$1.31M |
|
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High Probability Advisors's Q1 2021 Portfolio in Review
As of Q1 2021, High Probability Advisors held 37 positions worth $190M, up 16% from $163M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 80% of the portfolio.
High Probability Advisors deployed $17M of net new capital in Q1 2021, opening 4 new positions and adding to 22 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Broadstone Net Lease: 219,364 shares worth $4.01M.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 2.2% of assets, up from 0.09% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Consumer Discretionary.
On the sell side, the largest reduction was Xtrackers Russell US Multifactor ETF, an estimated $496K trimmed.
- High Probability Advisors's largest Q1 2021 buy was Broadstone Net Lease: 219,364 shares worth $4.01M.
- High Probability Advisors added most to Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF in Q1 2021, an estimated $4.29M increase.
- High Probability Advisors's biggest Q1 2021 reduction was Xtrackers Russell US Multifactor ETF, cutting an estimated $496K.
- High Probability Advisors fully exited Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF in Q1 2021, selling an estimated $1.31M.
- High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 80% of its $190M portfolio in Q1 2021.
- High Probability Advisors opened 4 new positions and closed 3 in Q1 2021.
- High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 16% quarter-over-quarter to $190M.
Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q1 2021, filed 14 Nov 2024.