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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.97%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
ITRI icon
201
Itron
ITRI
$4.35B
$1.21M 0.15%
11,100
+1,700
+18% +$190K
HELE icon
202
Helen of Troy
HELE
$674M
$1.2M 0.15%
20,131
+5,000
+33% +$332K
SJM icon
203
J.M. Smucker
SJM
$14.1B
$1.2M 0.15%
+10,900
New +$1.25M
SMMT icon
204
Summit Therapeutics
SMMT
$11.4B
$1.2M 0.15%
+67,039
New +$1.3M
VAL icon
205
Valaris
VAL
$5.93B
$1.18M 0.14%
26,613
-15,800
-37% -$761K
MTH icon
206
Meritage Homes
MTH
$4.6B
$1.18M 0.14%
15,296
+4,000
+35% +$365K
MGY icon
207
Magnolia Oil & Gas
MGY
$6.32B
$1.17M 0.14%
50,200
+24,900
+98% +$647K
TENB icon
208
Tenable Holdings
TENB
$4.14B
$1.17M 0.14%
+29,800
New +$1.24M
BSX icon
209
Boston Scientific
BSX
$67.6B
$1.17M 0.14%
13,100
-23,700
-64% -$2.09M
SFM icon
210
Sprouts Farmers Market
SFM
$7.56B
$1.17M 0.14%
9,200
-10,700
-54% -$1.42M
UTHR icon
211
United Therapeutics
UTHR
$22.6B
$1.17M 0.14%
+3,306
New +$1.22M
G icon
212
Genpact
G
$6.31B
$1.15M 0.14%
+26,768
New +$1.13M
SHOP icon
213
Shopify
SHOP
$199B
$1.13M 0.14%
10,600
-61,578
-85% -$5.99M
PDCO
214
DELISTED
Patterson Companies, Inc.
PDCO
$1.12M 0.14%
+36,158
New +$840K
NWL icon
215
Newell Brands
NWL
$2.5B
$1.11M 0.14%
111,800
+82,500
+282% +$748K
WM icon
216
Waste Management
WM
$87B
$1.11M 0.14%
+5,500
New +$1.18M
MDGL icon
217
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals
MDGL
$12.6B
$1.1M 0.13%
3,573
+2,071
+138% +$582K
EQNR icon
218
Equinor
EQNR
$98.6B
$1.1M 0.13%
+46,500
New +$1.12M
AXTA icon
219
Axalta
AXTA
$7.85B
$1.1M 0.13%
+32,095
New +$1.21M
GERN icon
220
Geron
GERN
$983M
$1.07M 0.13%
+302,600
New +$1.21M
VOYA icon
221
Voya Financial
VOYA
$9.16B
$1.07M 0.13%
+15,499
New +$1.21M
DIS icon
222
Walt Disney
DIS
$184B
$1.05M 0.13%
9,463
-58,600
-86% -$6.16M
INVH icon
223
Invitation Homes
INVH
$17.4B
$1.03M 0.13%
+32,300
New +$1.08M
PTEN icon
224
Patterson-UTI
PTEN
$4.68B
$1.03M 0.13%
124,900
+71,100
+132% +$570K
KNX icon
225
Knight Transportation
KNX
$11.2B
$1.03M 0.13%
19,431
+11,100
+133% +$604K
7 8
9
10 11

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ADBIC
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FWM
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.