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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+17.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$942M
AUM Growth
+$65.9M
(+7.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$40.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-4.31%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
17.62%
Holding
1,095
New
434
Increased
124
Reduced
144
Closed
391
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$20.3M |
| 2 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$20.1M |
| 3 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$13.7M |
| 4 |
Datadog
DDOG
|
+$9.59M |
| 5 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$8.72M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
|
+$20M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$18.9M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$11.5M |
| 4 |
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
|
+$9.77M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$9.74M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.98% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.92% |
| 4 | Financials | 8.55% |
| 5 | Industrials | 7.97% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
201
Colgate-Palmolive
CL
$72.5B
| $1.18M | 0.13% |
+14,796
| New | +$1.11M |
|
202
Watsco Inc
WSO
$12.9B
| $1.18M | 0.13% |
+2,750
| New | +$1.07M |
|
203
Halozyme
HALO
$12.1B
| $1.16M | 0.12% |
+31,500
| New | +$1.19M |
|
|
CPE
204
DELISTED
Callon Petroleum Company
CPE
| $1.16M | 0.12% |
35,800
+25,000
| +231% | +$856K |
|
205
Braze
BRZE
$3.84B
| $1.16M | 0.12% |
21,800
+5,900
| +37% | +$292K |
|
206
Teradyne
TER
$58.2B
| $1.14M | 0.12% |
10,534
-2,572
| -20% | -$244K |
|
207
Nutrien
NTR
$34.9B
| $1.14M | 0.12% |
+20,277
| New | +$1.15M |
|
208
Neurocrine Biosciences
NBIX
$15.8B
| $1.14M | 0.12% |
+8,653
| New | +$996K |
|
209
InMode
INMD
$854M
| $1.14M | 0.12% |
+51,200
| New | +$1.15M |
|
210
Builders FirstSource
BLDR
$7.23B
| $1.13M | 0.12% |
6,741
+2,641
| +64% | +$351K |
|
211
DraftKings
DKNG
$12B
| $1.12M | 0.12% |
31,900
-254,600
| -89% | -$8.52M |
|
212
DTE Energy
DTE
$28.3B
| $1.12M | 0.12% |
10,160
-2,900
| -22% | -$297K |
|
213
Marqeta
MQ
$1.69B
| $1.11M | 0.12% |
+39,850
| New | +$955K |
|
214
Carvana
CVNA
$53.3B
| $1.1M | 0.12% |
103,465
-12,410
| -11% | -$93K |
|
215
Ball Corp
BALL
$16.8B
| $1.09M | 0.12% |
+18,928
| New | +$976K |
|
216
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
$942B
| $1.09M | 0.12% |
+6,400
| New | +$970K |
|
217
Baidu
BIDU
$32.9B
| $1.08M | 0.12% |
9,104
+3,838
| +73% | +$443K |
|
218
ICICI Bank
IBN
$107B
| $1.08M | 0.11% |
+45,282
| New | +$1.04M |
|
219
Peloton Interactive
PTON
$2.33B
| $1.07M | 0.11% |
+175,586
| New | +$946K |
|
220
Mohawk Industries
MHK
$8.79B
| $1.07M | 0.11% |
10,330
+3,300
| +47% | +$289K |
|
221
Gentex
GNTX
$4.86B
| $1.07M | 0.11% |
+32,700
| New | +$1.01M |
|
|
BERY
222
DELISTED
Berry Global Group, Inc.
BERY
| $1.06M | 0.11% |
+17,197
| New | +$970K |
|
223
Allegion
ALLE
$13.6B
| $1.06M | 0.11% |
+8,390
| New | +$896K |
|
224
Kraft Heinz
KHC
$29.8B
| $1.06M | 0.11% |
+28,730
| New | +$977K |
|
|
VRNT
225
DELISTED
Verint Systems
VRNT
| $1.06M | 0.11% |
+39,215
| New | +$909K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2023, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,095 positions worth $942M, up 7.5% from $876M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $40.6M in Q4 2023, closing 391 positions and reducing 144 holdings. Its most notable exit was Palo Alto Networks, an estimated $20M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2023 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 45,200 shares worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Alibaba in Q4 2023, an estimated $20.3M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $18.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Palo Alto Networks in Q4 2023, selling an estimated $20M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $942M portfolio in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 434 new positions and closed 391 in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $942M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Feb 2024.