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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+21.53%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$383M
AUM Growth
-$26.4M
(-6.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$70.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-18.47%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
18.38%
Holding
733
New
236
Increased
90
Reduced
105
Closed
302
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$9.37M |
| 2 |
Micron Technology
MU
|
+$5.24M |
| 3 |
PayPal
PYPL
|
+$5.12M |
| 4 |
Boeing
BA
|
+$4.77M |
| 5 |
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
|
+$4.74M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$14.9M |
| 2 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$11.5M |
| 3 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$7.38M |
| 4 |
AbbVie
ABBV
|
+$7.33M |
| 5 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$5.35M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 19.29% |
| 2 | Healthcare | 13.97% |
| 3 | Consumer Discretionary | 13.78% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.12% |
| 5 | Miscellaneous | 9.8% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
VMW
201
DELISTED
VMware, Inc
VMW
| $547K | 0.14% |
3,900
+1,100
| +39% | +$158K |
|
202
Chegg
CHGG
$89M
| $544K | 0.14% |
+6,021
| New | +$478K |
|
203
J.M. Smucker
SJM
$14.1B
| $543K | 0.14% |
4,700
-13,300
| -74% | -$1.55M |
|
204
ING
ING
$100B
| $539K | 0.14% |
57,100
+38,400
| +205% | +$329K |
|
|
SAVE
205
DELISTED
Spirit Airlines, Inc.
SAVE
| $538K | 0.14% |
22,009
+6,887
| +46% | +$143K |
|
206
LKQ Corp
LKQ
$6.42B
| $537K | 0.14% |
15,227
-14,273
| -48% | -$488K |
|
|
DISH
207
DELISTED
DISH Network Corp.
DISH
| $537K | 0.14% |
16,600
-4,000
| -19% | -$123K |
|
208
Citizens Financial Group
CFG
$29.6B
| $529K | 0.14% |
14,800
+300
| +2% | +$9.41K |
|
209
Paychex
PAYX
$45B
| $523K | 0.14% |
+5,615
| New | +$499K |
|
210
Atmos Energy
ATO
$28.3B
| $516K | 0.13% |
5,408
+3,000
| +125% | +$289K |
|
211
American Airlines Group
AAL
$9.08B
| $514K | 0.13% |
32,600
-74,600
| -70% | -$1.03M |
|
212
Emergent Biosolutions
EBS
$305M
| $511K | 0.13% |
5,700
+1,681
| +42% | +$154K |
|
213
AutoNation
AN
$6.57B
| $507K | 0.13% |
+7,266
| New | +$457K |
|
214
Tyson Foods
TSN
$19.5B
| $502K | 0.13% |
+7,796
| New | +$485K |
|
215
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
DIA
$46B
| $498K | 0.13% |
1,629
-952
| -37% | -$277K |
|
216
RTX Corp
RTX
$286B
| $498K | 0.13% |
6,969
-12,131
| -64% | -$797K |
|
217
Tenable Holdings
TENB
$4.14B
| $498K | 0.13% |
+9,525
| New | +$377K |
|
218
TransUnion
TRU
$16.2B
| $496K | 0.13% |
5,000
-3,700
| -43% | -$339K |
|
219
Wynn Resorts
WYNN
$9.64B
| $496K | 0.13% |
4,400
-19,900
| -82% | -$1.84M |
|
220
Cerence
CRNC
$380M
| $484K | 0.13% |
4,817
-2,383
| -33% | -$178K |
|
|
BAND
221
Bandwidth Inc
BAND
$1.67B
| $478K | 0.12% |
3,109
+200
| +7% | +$33K |
|
222
Amazon
AMZN
$2.76T
| $472K | 0.12% |
+2,900
| New | +$463K |
|
223
Aecom
ACM
$8.52B
| $464K | 0.12% |
+9,328
| New | +$446K |
|
|
BLUE
224
DELISTED
bluebird bio
BLUE
| $463K | 0.12% |
826
+293
| +55% | +$186K |
|
225
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co
AJG
$66.7B
| $458K | 0.12% |
+3,700
| New | +$421K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2020 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2020, Bayesian Capital Management held 733 positions worth $383M, down 6.5% from $409M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $70.7M in Q4 2020, closing 302 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Microsoft, an estimated $14.9M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 19% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Healthcare and Consumer Discretionary.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Micron Technology worth $6.53M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2020 buy was Micron Technology: 86,900 shares worth $6.53M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q4 2020, an estimated $9.37M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2020 reduction was Zoom, cutting an estimated $5.12M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Microsoft in Q4 2020, selling an estimated $14.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $383M portfolio in Q4 2020.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 236 new positions and closed 302 in Q4 2020.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 6.5% quarter-over-quarter to $383M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2020, filed 12 Feb 2021.