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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+17.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$942M
AUM Growth
+$65.9M
(+7.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$40.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-4.31%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
17.62%
Holding
1,095
New
434
Increased
124
Reduced
144
Closed
391
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$20.3M |
| 2 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$20.1M |
| 3 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$13.7M |
| 4 |
Datadog
DDOG
|
+$9.59M |
| 5 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$8.72M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
|
+$20M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$18.9M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$11.5M |
| 4 |
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
|
+$9.77M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$9.74M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.98% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.92% |
| 4 | Financials | 8.55% |
| 5 | Industrials | 7.97% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
176
PagSeguro Digital
PAGS
$2.46B
| $1.35M | 0.14% |
108,601
+44,000
| +68% | +$405K |
|
177
Hewlett Packard
HPE
$72B
| $1.35M | 0.14% |
+79,600
| New | +$1.3M |
|
178
Intuit
INTU
$95.2B
| $1.35M | 0.14% |
2,161
-497
| -19% | -$274K |
|
179
Qiagen
QGEN
$9.03B
| $1.35M | 0.14% |
29,235
+5,478
| +23% | +$233K |
|
180
Rexford Industrial Realty
REXR
$8.28B
| $1.35M | 0.14% |
23,997
+8,597
| +56% | +$421K |
|
|
SCHW
181
Charles Schwab
SCHW
$187B
| $1.33M | 0.14% |
+19,400
| New | +$1.12M |
|
|
FLG
182
Flagstar Bank National Association
FLG
$5.58B
| $1.33M | 0.14% |
43,433
-2,234
| -5% | -$67K |
|
183
Invesco
IVZ
$14.7B
| $1.31M | 0.14% |
73,200
+48,500
| +196% | +$700K |
|
184
Ferrari
RACE
$72.8B
| $1.3M | 0.14% |
3,847
-697
| -15% | -$233K |
|
185
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
RSP
$99.8B
| $1.3M | 0.14% |
+8,226
| New | +$1.2M |
|
186
Fortune Brands Innovations
FBIN
$5.41B
| $1.29M | 0.14% |
16,973
+5,500
| +48% | +$362K |
|
187
Tradeweb Markets
TW
$22.8B
| $1.29M | 0.14% |
+14,204
| New | +$1.27M |
|
188
Kroger
KR
$34.9B
| $1.28M | 0.14% |
+28,100
| New | +$1.25M |
|
189
Royal Bank of Canada
RY
$283B
| $1.26M | 0.13% |
12,474
+9,300
| +293% | +$819K |
|
190
Nextpower Inc. Common Stock
NXT
$13.6B
| $1.25M | 0.13% |
26,600
-27,700
| -51% | -$1.08M |
|
191
PNC Financial Services
PNC
$97.1B
| $1.25M | 0.13% |
+8,042
| New | +$1.04M |
|
192
Canadian National Railway
CNI
$76.5B
| $1.23M | 0.13% |
+9,764
| New | +$1.11M |
|
193
Logitech
LOGI
$14B
| $1.23M | 0.13% |
12,897
-700
| -5% | -$57.5K |
|
194
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce
CM
$104B
| $1.22M | 0.13% |
+25,243
| New | +$1.01M |
|
195
Bentley Systems
BSY
$11.4B
| $1.21M | 0.13% |
23,197
+13,397
| +137% | +$688K |
|
196
Oshkosh
OSK
$9.68B
| $1.2M | 0.13% |
11,100
+3,500
| +46% | +$338K |
|
197
Healthpeak Properties
DOC
$14.6B
| $1.2M | 0.13% |
60,400
+12,100
| +25% | +$213K |
|
198
Gen Digital
GEN
$18.3B
| $1.19M | 0.13% |
+52,226
| New | +$1.03M |
|
199
Graco
GGG
$12.9B
| $1.19M | 0.13% |
+13,700
| New | +$1.08M |
|
200
Moelis & Co
MC
$5.08B
| $1.18M | 0.13% |
+21,091
| New | +$991K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2023, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,095 positions worth $942M, up 7.5% from $876M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $40.6M in Q4 2023, closing 391 positions and reducing 144 holdings. Its most notable exit was Palo Alto Networks, an estimated $20M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2023 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 45,200 shares worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Alibaba in Q4 2023, an estimated $20.3M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $18.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Palo Alto Networks in Q4 2023, selling an estimated $20M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $942M portfolio in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 434 new positions and closed 391 in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $942M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Feb 2024.