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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.97%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
BPMC
151
DELISTED
Blueprint Medicines
BPMC
$1.62M 0.2%
+18,579
New +$1.7M
WIX icon
152
WIX.com
WIX
$3.59B
$1.61M 0.2%
+7,500
New +$1.43M
CAVA icon
153
CAVA Group
CAVA
$7.82B
$1.6M 0.2%
14,200
+8,700
+158% +$1.16M
PARA
154
DELISTED
Paramount Global Class B
PARA
$1.6M 0.2%
+153,000
New +$1.64M
ODFL icon
155
Old Dominion Freight Line
ODFL
$41.5B
$1.59M 0.19%
9,000
+7,700
+592% +$1.57M
ALGN icon
156
Align Technology
ALGN
$11.3B
$1.58M 0.19%
7,596
+2,200
+41% +$491K
NARI
157
DELISTED
Inari Medical, Inc. Common Stock
NARI
$1.58M 0.19%
+30,882
New +$1.52M
AME icon
158
Ametek
AME
$55.9B
$1.57M 0.19%
8,729
+2,100
+32% +$383K
KR icon
159
Kroger
KR
$34.9B
$1.57M 0.19%
25,718
+7,018
+38% +$412K
MUR icon
160
Murphy Oil
MUR
$5.15B
$1.57M 0.19%
51,756
+28,100
+119% +$903K
BAH icon
161
Booz Allen Hamilton
BAH
$9.01B
$1.54M 0.19%
+12,000
New +$1.86M
SCI icon
162
Service Corp International
SCI
$11.4B
$1.52M 0.19%
+19,100
New +$1.56M
BE icon
163
Bloom Energy
BE
$64.2B
$1.52M 0.19%
68,571
+7,339
+12% +$129K
AFL icon
164
Aflac
AFL
$58.4B
$1.52M 0.19%
+14,700
New +$1.6M
ALV icon
165
Autoliv
ALV
$9B
$1.51M 0.18%
+16,100
New +$1.55M
AAL icon
166
American Airlines Group
AAL
$9.08B
$1.51M 0.18%
86,600
+49,300
+132% +$709K
CLSK icon
167
CleanSpark
CLSK
$3.33B
$1.49M 0.18%
+161,800
New +$1.96M
KEYS icon
168
Keysight
KEYS
$55.5B
$1.49M 0.18%
9,246
-24,800
-73% -$4M
URI icon
169
United Rentals
URI
$64.6B
$1.47M 0.18%
+2,082
New +$1.69M
IDCC icon
170
InterDigital
IDCC
$8.64B
$1.46M 0.18%
+7,529
New +$1.32M
BJ icon
171
BJs Wholesale Club
BJ
$11.4B
$1.45M 0.18%
16,200
-966
-6% -$87.3K
GAP
172
The Gap Inc
GAP
$7.48B
$1.41M 0.17%
59,538
-18,400
-24% -$419K
STLD icon
173
Steel Dynamics
STLD
$33.8B
$1.4M 0.17%
+12,300
New +$1.63M
CP icon
174
Canadian Pacific Kansas City
CP
$82.5B
$1.39M 0.17%
19,221
+14,200
+283% +$1.09M
MTZ icon
175
MasTec
MTZ
$20.2B
$1.37M 0.17%
10,038
+6,439
+179% +$863K
5 6
7
8 9

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ADBIC
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.