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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+17.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$942M
AUM Growth
+$65.9M
(+7.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$40.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-4.31%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
17.62%
Holding
1,095
New
434
Increased
124
Reduced
144
Closed
391
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$20.3M |
| 2 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$20.1M |
| 3 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$13.7M |
| 4 |
Datadog
DDOG
|
+$9.59M |
| 5 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$8.72M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
|
+$20M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$18.9M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$11.5M |
| 4 |
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
|
+$9.77M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$9.74M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.98% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.92% |
| 4 | Financials | 8.55% |
| 5 | Industrials | 7.97% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
151
DaVita
DVA
$11.4B
| $1.69M | 0.18% |
16,089
| – | – |
|
152
Five Below
FIVE
$13.7B
| $1.64M | 0.17% |
+7,700
| New | +$1.41M |
|
153
Axalta
AXTA
$7.85B
| $1.64M | 0.17% |
48,302
+23,200
| +92% | +$695K |
|
154
Arrow Electronics
ARW
$10.6B
| $1.64M | 0.17% |
+13,391
| New | +$1.6M |
|
155
Cal-Maine
CALM
$3.72B
| $1.63M | 0.17% |
+28,482
| New | +$1.41M |
|
156
AppFolio
APPF
$8.22B
| $1.58M | 0.17% |
+9,125
| New | +$1.71M |
|
|
EXAS
157
DELISTED
Exact Sciences
EXAS
| $1.57M | 0.17% |
21,220
+16,202
| +323% | +$1.06M |
|
158
McCormick & Company Non-Voting
MKC
$14.7B
| $1.56M | 0.17% |
22,821
+9,300
| +69% | +$608K |
|
159
Copa Holdings
CPA
$5.94B
| $1.55M | 0.16% |
14,600
+8,900
| +156% | +$814K |
|
|
PR
160
Permian Resources
PR
$19.4B
| $1.55M | 0.16% |
+113,900
| New | +$1.56M |
|
161
Camping World
CWH
$410M
| $1.54M | 0.16% |
+58,625
| New | +$1.23M |
|
162
CME Group
CME
$101B
| $1.52M | 0.16% |
+7,218
| New | +$1.54M |
|
163
Evergy
EVRG
$18.8B
| $1.51M | 0.16% |
+28,900
| New | +$1.45M |
|
164
Western Alliance Bancorporation
WAL
$8.59B
| $1.49M | 0.16% |
+22,671
| New | +$1.14M |
|
165
Kenvue
KVUE
$36.9B
| $1.49M | 0.16% |
+69,111
| New | +$1.38M |
|
166
CrowdStrike
CRWD
$232B
| $1.48M | 0.16% |
+23,200
| New | +$1.21M |
|
|
CFLT
167
DELISTED
Confluent
CFLT
| $1.47M | 0.16% |
+63,000
| New | +$1.52M |
|
168
XPeng
XPEV
$10.8B
| $1.45M | 0.15% |
+99,396
| New | +$1.58M |
|
169
Masco
MAS
$14.4B
| $1.45M | 0.15% |
+21,642
| New | +$1.26M |
|
170
MGM Resorts International
MGM
$10.8B
| $1.41M | 0.15% |
+31,551
| New | +$1.24M |
|
171
Pembina Pipeline
PBA
$28.1B
| $1.39M | 0.15% |
+40,428
| New | +$1.3M |
|
172
Sea Limited
SE
$72.5B
| $1.39M | 0.15% |
34,244
-144,700
| -81% | -$5.9M |
|
173
Bath & Body Works
BBWI
$3.76B
| $1.38M | 0.15% |
+31,924
| New | +$1.08M |
|
174
Host Hotels & Resorts
HST
$15.3B
| $1.36M | 0.14% |
+69,801
| New | +$1.2M |
|
175
Magna International
MGA
$17.6B
| $1.35M | 0.14% |
+22,924
| New | +$1.24M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2023, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,095 positions worth $942M, up 7.5% from $876M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $40.6M in Q4 2023, closing 391 positions and reducing 144 holdings. Its most notable exit was Palo Alto Networks, an estimated $20M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2023 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 45,200 shares worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Alibaba in Q4 2023, an estimated $20.3M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $18.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Palo Alto Networks in Q4 2023, selling an estimated $20M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $942M portfolio in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 434 new positions and closed 391 in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $942M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Feb 2024.