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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+21.53%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$383M
AUM Growth
-$26.4M
(-6.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$70.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-18.47%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
18.38%
Holding
733
New
236
Increased
90
Reduced
105
Closed
302
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$9.37M |
| 2 |
Micron Technology
MU
|
+$5.24M |
| 3 |
PayPal
PYPL
|
+$5.12M |
| 4 |
Boeing
BA
|
+$4.77M |
| 5 |
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
|
+$4.74M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$14.9M |
| 2 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$11.5M |
| 3 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$7.38M |
| 4 |
AbbVie
ABBV
|
+$7.33M |
| 5 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$5.35M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 19.29% |
| 2 | Healthcare | 13.97% |
| 3 | Consumer Discretionary | 13.78% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.12% |
| 5 | Miscellaneous | 9.8% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
151
Idexx Laboratories
IDXX
$42.9B
| $750K | 0.2% |
+1,500
| New | +$671K |
|
152
Darling Ingredients
DAR
$9.69B
| $744K | 0.19% |
+12,900
| New | +$616K |
|
153
Marathon Petroleum
MPC
$102B
| $744K | 0.19% |
18,000
-2,900
| -14% | -$104K |
|
154
Valero Energy
VLO
$99.8B
| $739K | 0.19% |
13,071
-7,388
| -36% | -$362K |
|
155
XPeng
XPEV
$10.8B
| $737K | 0.19% |
17,200
+600
| +4% | +$22K |
|
156
Knight Transportation
KNX
$11.2B
| $728K | 0.19% |
+17,418
| New | +$710K |
|
157
IQVIA
IQV
$43.2B
| $726K | 0.19% |
+4,050
| New | +$682K |
|
158
AGCO
AGCO
$7.77B
| $714K | 0.19% |
+6,926
| New | +$615K |
|
159
Acuity Brands
AYI
$10.2B
| $709K | 0.19% |
+5,857
| New | +$628K |
|
160
LivePerson
LPSN
$34.4M
| $697K | 0.18% |
+747
| New | +$642K |
|
161
Copart
CPRT
$30.3B
| $674K | 0.18% |
+21,200
| New | +$618K |
|
162
Fortive
FTV
$18.1B
| $662K | 0.17% |
+12,398
| New | +$638K |
|
163
First Solar
FSLR
$22.6B
| $661K | 0.17% |
6,684
-2,500
| -27% | -$217K |
|
|
CGC
164
Canopy Growth
CGC
$454M
| $656K | 0.17% |
2,664
+1,131
| +74% | +$258K |
|
165
Trimble
TRMB
$14.3B
| $656K | 0.17% |
9,826
+1,600
| +19% | +$91.8K |
|
166
Nokia
NOK
$59.3B
| $654K | 0.17% |
167,200
+141,213
| +543% | +$556K |
|
167
Zillow
ZG
$8.17B
| $654K | 0.17% |
+4,809
| New | +$542K |
|
168
Teradyne
TER
$58.2B
| $649K | 0.17% |
5,411
-17,189
| -76% | -$1.76M |
|
169
Middleby
MIDD
$5.14B
| $645K | 0.17% |
+5,000
| New | +$604K |
|
170
AerCap
AER
$23.3B
| $644K | 0.17% |
14,134
-24,600
| -64% | -$859K |
|
171
Royal Caribbean
RCL
$76.2B
| $642K | 0.17% |
8,600
-32,200
| -79% | -$2.24M |
|
172
State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLI
$33.2B
| $640K | 0.17% |
+7,226
| New | +$609K |
|
173
Sherwin-Williams
SHW
$83.8B
| $636K | 0.17% |
+2,598
| New | +$616K |
|
174
State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust
MDY
$26.7B
| $635K | 0.17% |
1,513
+645
| +74% | +$248K |
|
|
SKX
175
DELISTED
Skechers
SKX
| $633K | 0.17% |
17,600
-6,738
| -28% | -$229K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2020 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2020, Bayesian Capital Management held 733 positions worth $383M, down 6.5% from $409M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $70.7M in Q4 2020, closing 302 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Microsoft, an estimated $14.9M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 19% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Healthcare and Consumer Discretionary.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Micron Technology worth $6.53M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2020 buy was Micron Technology: 86,900 shares worth $6.53M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q4 2020, an estimated $9.37M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2020 reduction was Zoom, cutting an estimated $5.12M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Microsoft in Q4 2020, selling an estimated $14.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $383M portfolio in Q4 2020.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 236 new positions and closed 302 in Q4 2020.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 6.5% quarter-over-quarter to $383M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2020, filed 12 Feb 2021.