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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M Turnover 90.24%
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.1%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413
Avg Time Held
0.2 years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
0 years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
0 years

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.91%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow Held Since
OKE icon
126
Oneok
OKE
$58.8B
$1.97M 0.24%
+19,585
New +$2M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
CIEN icon
127
Ciena
CIEN
$47.2B
$1.94M 0.24%
+22,905
New +$1.64M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
JD icon
128
JD.com
JD
$36.5B
$1.93M 0.24%
55,800
-172,889
-76% -$6.69M
2023 Q3
5 quarters
CRBG icon
129
Corebridge Financial
CRBG
$15.3B
$1.92M 0.23%
+64,100
New +$1.98M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
XBI icon
130
State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
XBI
$9.54B
$1.9M 0.23%
+21,100
New +$2.04M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
CDNS icon
131
Cadence Design Systems
CDNS
$88B
$1.89M 0.23%
+6,295
New +$1.83M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
WDC icon
132
Western Digital
WDC
$124B
$1.88M 0.23%
+41,807
New +$2.1M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
SNY icon
133
Sanofi
SNY
$97.3B
$1.88M 0.23%
+38,883
New +$1.98M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
LYFT icon
134
Lyft
LYFT
$6.37B
$1.87M 0.23%
144,900
+34,700
+31% +$514K
2024 Q3
1 quarter
NXT icon
135
Nextpower Inc. Common Stock
NXT
$12.1B
$1.86M 0.23%
+50,900
New +$1.86M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
CRDO icon
136
Credo Technology Group
CRDO
$31.9B
$1.85M 0.23%
+27,593
New +$1.37M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
AA icon
137
Alcoa
AA
$10.9B
$1.82M 0.22%
48,200
+6,943
+17% +$288K
2024 Q1
3 quarters
DLR icon
138
Digital Realty Trust
DLR
$65.3B
$1.81M 0.22%
+10,200
New +$1.81M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
ILMN icon
139
Illumina
ILMN
$39.6B
$1.8M 0.22%
13,500
+6,300
+88% +$897K
2024 Q3
1 quarter
KD icon
140
Kyndryl
KD
$2.88B
$1.8M 0.22%
+52,100
New +$1.52M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
DGX icon
141
Quest Diagnostics
DGX
$25.9B
$1.78M 0.22%
+11,800
New +$1.84M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
AEP icon
142
American Electric Power
AEP
$69.2B
$1.76M 0.22%
19,100
-18,000
-49% -$1.74M
2024 Q2
2 quarters
BECN icon
143
DELISTED
Beacon Roofing Supply, Inc.
BECN
$1.72M 0.21%
+16,956
New +$1.71M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
FRPT icon
144
Freshpet
FRPT
$3.2B
$1.7M 0.21%
+11,500
New +$1.68M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
VRSK icon
145
Verisk Analytics
VRSK
$24.8B
$1.7M 0.21%
+6,180
New +$1.72M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
TOST icon
146
Toast
TOST
$18.3B
$1.69M 0.21%
46,485
+27,300
+142% +$959K
2024 Q1
3 quarters
MKC icon
147
McCormick & Company Non-Voting
MKC
$12.5B
$1.69M 0.21%
+22,200
New +$1.74M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
IFF icon
148
International Flavors & Fragrances
IFF
$23.1B
$1.67M 0.2%
19,761
-12,200
-38% -$1.15M
2024 Q2
2 quarters
BX icon
149
Blackstone
BX
$85.1B
$1.65M 0.2%
+9,596
New +$1.67M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
PCVX icon
150
Vaxcyte
PCVX
$10B
$1.65M 0.2%
+20,204
New +$2.01M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
4 5
6
7 8

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.