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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+17.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$942M
AUM Growth
+$65.9M
(+7.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$40.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-4.31%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
17.62%
Holding
1,095
New
434
Increased
124
Reduced
144
Closed
391
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$20.3M |
| 2 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$20.1M |
| 3 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$13.7M |
| 4 |
Datadog
DDOG
|
+$9.59M |
| 5 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$8.72M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
|
+$20M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$18.9M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$11.5M |
| 4 |
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
|
+$9.77M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$9.74M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.98% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.92% |
| 4 | Financials | 8.55% |
| 5 | Industrials | 7.97% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
126
General Motors
GM
$75.6B
| $2.05M | 0.22% |
+57,158
| New | +$1.77M |
|
127
S&P Global
SPGI
$128B
| $2.05M | 0.22% |
+4,645
| New | +$1.83M |
|
128
Chubb
CB
$131B
| $2.04M | 0.22% |
9,043
-4,600
| -34% | -$1.01M |
|
129
Murphy Oil
MUR
$5.15B
| $2.02M | 0.21% |
47,452
+4,852
| +11% | +$212K |
|
130
TG Therapeutics
TGTX
$8.53B
| $1.98M | 0.21% |
+116,067
| New | +$1.35M |
|
131
Knight Transportation
KNX
$11.2B
| $1.98M | 0.21% |
+34,309
| New | +$1.8M |
|
132
GlobalFoundries
GFS
$25.4B
| $1.96M | 0.21% |
+32,300
| New | +$1.79M |
|
133
Wayfair
W
$14.4B
| $1.94M | 0.21% |
31,362
+1,000
| +3% | +$52.3K |
|
134
Illumina
ILMN
$34.4B
| $1.91M | 0.2% |
+14,084
| New | +$1.62M |
|
135
State Street SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF
KRE
$4.04B
| $1.9M | 0.2% |
36,300
+13,300
| +58% | +$595K |
|
136
UnitedHealth
UNH
$355B
| $1.9M | 0.2% |
3,600
-7,100
| -66% | -$3.79M |
|
137
Synopsys
SNPS
$89B
| $1.89M | 0.2% |
+3,675
| New | +$1.88M |
|
138
Live Nation Entertainment
LYV
$42.1B
| $1.85M | 0.2% |
19,800
+11,300
| +133% | +$972K |
|
139
Ralph Lauren
RL
$21B
| $1.84M | 0.2% |
+12,759
| New | +$1.58M |
|
|
CERE
140
DELISTED
Cerevel Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
CERE
| $1.84M | 0.2% |
43,382
+14,500
| +50% | +$417K |
|
141
Agnico Eagle Mines
AEM
$109B
| $1.84M | 0.2% |
+33,500
| New | +$1.67M |
|
|
WBA
142
DELISTED
Walgreens Boots Alliance
WBA
| $1.83M | 0.19% |
+70,102
| New | +$1.57M |
|
143
Tapestry
TPR
$24.6B
| $1.82M | 0.19% |
49,371
+26,800
| +119% | +$825K |
|
144
SoFi Technologies
SOFI
$24.8B
| $1.79M | 0.19% |
179,534
-281,166
| -61% | -$2.23M |
|
145
Tenaris
TS
$27.4B
| $1.77M | 0.19% |
51,026
+19,800
| +63% | +$664K |
|
|
CTRA
146
DELISTED
Coterra Energy
CTRA
| $1.76M | 0.19% |
+69,100
| New | +$1.85M |
|
147
Diageo
DEO
$51.2B
| $1.73M | 0.18% |
11,887
+10,195
| +603% | +$1.51M |
|
148
Rapid7
RPD
$910M
| $1.72M | 0.18% |
30,200
+16,700
| +124% | +$873K |
|
149
United Airlines
UAL
$36.5B
| $1.7M | 0.18% |
41,194
+14,694
| +55% | +$578K |
|
150
Euronet Worldwide
EEFT
$2.56B
| $1.7M | 0.18% |
+16,710
| New | +$1.43M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2023, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,095 positions worth $942M, up 7.5% from $876M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $40.6M in Q4 2023, closing 391 positions and reducing 144 holdings. Its most notable exit was Palo Alto Networks, an estimated $20M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2023 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 45,200 shares worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Alibaba in Q4 2023, an estimated $20.3M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $18.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Palo Alto Networks in Q4 2023, selling an estimated $20M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $942M portfolio in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 434 new positions and closed 391 in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $942M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Feb 2024.