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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M Turnover 90.24%
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.1%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413
Avg Time Held
0.2 years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
0 years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
0 years

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.91%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow Held Since
DBX icon
101
Dropbox
DBX
$7.71B
$2.28M 0.28%
+76,000
New +$2.1M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
CHTR icon
102
Charter Communications
CHTR
$12.6B
$2.26M 0.28%
6,600
-7,300
-53% -$2.64M
2024 Q3
1 quarter
CLF icon
103
Cleveland-Cliffs
CLF
$6.93B
$2.22M 0.27%
236,700
+178,600
+307% +$2.15M
2024 Q3
1 quarter
WAB icon
104
Wabtec
WAB
$48.3B
$2.22M 0.27%
+11,700
New +$2.26M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
STX icon
105
Seagate
STX
$147B
$2.22M 0.27%
25,693
+11,789
+85% +$1.19M
2024 Q3
1 quarter
DRI icon
106
Darden Restaurants
DRI
$24.4B
$2.19M 0.27%
11,749
-4,851
-29% -$814K
2024 Q2
2 quarters
LRN icon
107
Stride
LRN
$3.42B
$2.19M 0.27%
21,100
+15,300
+264% +$1.46M
2024 Q2
2 quarters
ETSY icon
108
Etsy
ETSY
$7.8B
$2.19M 0.27%
41,404
+16,832
+69% +$897K
2023 Q2
6 quarters
D icon
109
Dominion Energy
D
$55.9B
$2.19M 0.27%
+40,600
New +$2.32M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
TRU icon
110
TransUnion
TRU
$14.2B
$2.17M 0.27%
+23,382
New +$2.37M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
DOCS icon
111
Doximity
DOCS
$5.52B
$2.15M 0.26%
+40,300
New +$1.97M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
NVO icon
112
Novo Nordisk
NVO
$171B
$2.14M 0.26%
+24,900
New +$2.69M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
RBRK icon
113
Rubrik
RBRK
$22.8B
$2.14M 0.26%
32,749
+24,332
+289% +$1.2M
2024 Q3
1 quarter
BIRK icon
114
Birkenstock
BIRK
$5.64B
$2.12M 0.26%
+37,499
New +$1.9M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
AZN icon
115
AstraZeneca
AZN
$256B
$2.1M 0.26%
+16,050
New +$2.25M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
KKR icon
116
KKR & Co
KKR
$77.8B
$2.09M 0.26%
14,163
+7,300
+106% +$1.07M
2023 Q3
5 quarters
GPC icon
117
Genuine Parts
GPC
$18.4B
$2.08M 0.25%
+17,800
New +$2.22M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
MPC icon
118
Marathon Petroleum
MPC
$134B
$2.08M 0.25%
14,897
-27,700
-65% -$4.23M
2024 Q3
1 quarter
LITE icon
119
Lumentum
LITE
$75.8B
$2.08M 0.25%
24,724
-12,734
-34% -$992K
2024 Q2
2 quarters
PODD icon
120
Insulet
PODD
$9.8B
$2.07M 0.25%
+7,932
New +$2M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
ADBE icon
121
Adobe
ADBE
$95.2B
$2.06M 0.25%
4,639
+1,900
+69% +$941K
2024 Q2
2 quarters
STM icon
122
STMicroelectronics
STM
$41B
$2.05M 0.25%
+82,221
New +$2.18M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
XYZ icon
123
Block Inc
XYZ
$46.5B
$2.05M 0.25%
24,100
+16,800
+230% +$1.38M
2024 Q2
2 quarters
IPG icon
124
DELISTED
Interpublic Group of Companies
IPG
$2.04M 0.25%
+72,770
New +$2.17M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
GILD icon
125
Gilead Sciences
GILD
$193B
$2M 0.24%
+21,600
New +$1.94M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
3 4
5
6 7

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.