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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
Turnover
90.24%
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+10.92%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.1%
AUM
$853M
AUM Growth
-$19.3M
(-2.2%)
Cap. Flow
-$81.6M
Cap. Flow % of AUM
Cap. Flow %
-9.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
13.72%
Holding
1,104
New
422
Increased
110
Reduced
108
Closed
462
Avg Time Held
0.2
years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
0
years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Netflix
NFLX
|
+$14M |
| 2 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$11.7M |
| 3 |
MongoDB
MDB
|
+$9.23M |
| 4 |
Texas Instruments
TXN
|
+$8M |
| 5 |
Fortinet
FTNT
|
+$7.77M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$39.5M |
| 2 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$13.2M |
| 3 |
Ulta Beauty
ULTA
|
+$11.4M |
| 4 |
Adobe
ADBE
|
+$11.3M |
| 5 |
Tesla
TSLA
|
+$9.5M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.51% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.21% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 10.72% |
| 4 | Industrials | 10.26% |
| 5 | Financials | 8.26% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | Held Since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
101
Stanley Black & Decker
SWK
$14B
| $2.41M | 0.28% |
+21,852
| New | +$2.1M |
2024 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
102
Trade Desk
TTD
$5.78B
| $2.4M | 0.28% |
+21,912
| New | +$2.19M |
2024 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
103
DuPont de Nemours
DD
$17.6B
| $2.38M | 0.28% |
+21,257
| New | +$2.16M |
2024 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
104
Lumentum
LITE
$74.7B
| $2.37M | 0.28% |
37,458
-18,900
| -34% | -$1.02M |
2024 Q2
1 quarter
|
|
105
GitLab
GTLB
$8.79B
| $2.37M | 0.28% |
+46,010
| New | +$2.3M |
2024 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
106
Valaris
VAL
$5.92B
| $2.36M | 0.28% |
42,413
+39,014
| +1,148% | +$2.56M |
2024 Q2
1 quarter
|
|
107
Cisco
CSCO
$423B
| $2.35M | 0.28% |
+44,200
| New | +$2.15M |
2024 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
108
Shake Shack
SHAK
$2.83B
| $2.29M | 0.27% |
22,200
+8,800
| +66% | +$848K |
2024 Q2
1 quarter
|
|
109
DELISTED
Qorvo
QRVO
| $2.25M | 0.26% |
+21,809
| New | +$2.45M |
2024 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
110
Airbnb
ABNB
$102B
| $2.22M | 0.26% |
17,495
+5,795
| +50% | +$751K |
2024 Q1
2 quarters
|
|
111
Roblox
RBLX
$35.4B
| $2.2M | 0.26% |
+49,700
| New | +$2.07M |
2024 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
112
Textron
TXT
$13.1B
| $2.2M | 0.26% |
+24,812
| New | +$2.19M |
2024 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
113
Sprouts Farmers Market
SFM
$6.08B
| $2.2M | 0.26% |
+19,900
| New | +$1.9M |
2024 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
114
Corning
GLW
$114B
| $2.19M | 0.26% |
48,400
+8,600
| +22% | +$362K |
2024 Q1
2 quarters
|
|
115
Caesars Entertainment
CZR
$5.87B
| $2.18M | 0.26% |
52,200
+46,000
| +742% | +$1.73M |
2024 Q2
1 quarter
|
|
116
Samsara
IOT
$23.2B
| $2.18M | 0.26% |
+45,245
| New | +$1.83M |
2024 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
117
Evolent Health
EVH
$517M
| $2.15M | 0.25% |
76,135
+49,800
| +189% | +$1.28M |
2024 Q1
2 quarters
|
|
118
Trip.com Group
TCOM
$25.2B
| $2.15M | 0.25% |
+36,228
| New | +$1.68M |
2024 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
119
Trane Technologies
TT
$101B
| $2.15M | 0.25% |
+5,532
| New | +$1.92M |
2024 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
120
IBM
IBM
$219B
| $2.12M | 0.25% |
+9,570
| New | +$1.88M |
2024 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
121
TD Synnex
SNX
$19.7B
| $2.1M | 0.25% |
+17,448
| New | +$2.02M |
2024 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
122
DraftKings
DKNG
$9.38B
| $2.09M | 0.24% |
53,300
-47,300
| -47% | -$1.71M |
2024 Q2
1 quarter
|
|
123
Varonis Systems
VRNS
$5.6B
| $2.06M | 0.24% |
36,400
+29,900
| +460% | +$1.57M |
2024 Q1
2 quarters
|
|
124
Ferrari
RACE
$69.7B
| $2.03M | 0.24% |
4,323
+3,100
| +253% | +$1.39M |
2023 Q3
4 quarters
|
|
125
Constellation Energy
CEG
$96.1B
| $2M | 0.23% |
+7,700
| New | +$1.53M |
2024 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2024 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,104 positions worth $853M, down 2.2% from $873M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 14% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $81.6M in Q3 2024, closing 462 positions and reducing 108 holdings. Its most notable exit was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, an estimated $39.5M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in MongoDB worth $9.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2024 buy was MongoDB: 35,529 shares worth $9.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Netflix in Q3 2024, an estimated $14M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2024 reduction was Adobe, cutting an estimated $11.3M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q3 2024, selling an estimated $39.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 14% of its $853M portfolio in Q3 2024.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 422 new positions and closed 462 in Q3 2024.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 2.2% quarter-over-quarter to $853M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2024, filed 14 Nov 2024.