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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+17.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$942M
AUM Growth
+$65.9M
(+7.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$40.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-4.31%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
17.62%
Holding
1,095
New
434
Increased
124
Reduced
144
Closed
391
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$20.3M |
| 2 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$20.1M |
| 3 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$13.7M |
| 4 |
Datadog
DDOG
|
+$9.59M |
| 5 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$8.72M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
|
+$20M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$18.9M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$11.5M |
| 4 |
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
|
+$9.77M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$9.74M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.98% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.92% |
| 4 | Financials | 8.55% |
| 5 | Industrials | 7.97% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
101
Mondelez International
MDLZ
$79.7B
| $2.49M | 0.26% |
34,424
+9,100
| +36% | +$624K |
|
102
Vale
VALE
$65.2B
| $2.48M | 0.26% |
+156,500
| New | +$2.24M |
|
|
JNPR
103
DELISTED
Juniper Networks
JNPR
| $2.47M | 0.26% |
+83,900
| New | +$2.3M |
|
104
ScottsMiracle-Gro
SMG
$3.53B
| $2.46M | 0.26% |
+38,660
| New | +$2.09M |
|
105
Corteva
CTVA
$55B
| $2.42M | 0.26% |
+50,414
| New | +$2.4M |
|
106
Synchrony
SYF
$26B
| $2.41M | 0.26% |
+63,200
| New | +$2M |
|
|
GAP
107
The Gap Inc
GAP
$7.48B
| $2.41M | 0.26% |
115,400
+100,573
| +678% | +$1.62M |
|
108
Medpace
MEDP
$17.1B
| $2.4M | 0.26% |
+7,841
| New | +$2.12M |
|
109
Roblox
RBLX
$27.3B
| $2.35M | 0.25% |
51,400
-46,300
| -47% | -$1.71M |
|
110
Mettler-Toledo International
MTD
$28.2B
| $2.35M | 0.25% |
+1,935
| New | +$2.09M |
|
111
monday.com
MNDY
$4.21B
| $2.31M | 0.25% |
12,316
+4,100
| +50% | +$660K |
|
112
Transmedics
TMDX
$3.18B
| $2.28M | 0.24% |
28,935
+8,500
| +42% | +$513K |
|
113
Capital One
COF
$133B
| $2.26M | 0.24% |
17,200
-6,600
| -28% | -$712K |
|
114
Invitation Homes
INVH
$17.4B
| $2.17M | 0.23% |
63,582
+33,800
| +113% | +$1.1M |
|
115
FirstEnergy
FE
$26.8B
| $2.17M | 0.23% |
59,100
-24,600
| -29% | -$891K |
|
116
KKR & Co
KKR
$98.1B
| $2.17M | 0.23% |
26,150
-40,950
| -61% | -$2.77M |
|
117
Southwest Airlines
LUV
$19.5B
| $2.16M | 0.23% |
74,702
+3,402
| +5% | +$88.5K |
|
118
Graphic Packaging
GPK
$3.35B
| $2.14M | 0.23% |
+86,907
| New | +$1.95M |
|
|
B
119
Barrick Mining
B
$77.9B
| $2.14M | 0.23% |
+118,397
| New | +$1.94M |
|
120
Blue Owl Capital
OWL
$8.22B
| $2.14M | 0.23% |
+143,700
| New | +$1.93M |
|
121
RTX Corp
RTX
$286B
| $2.14M | 0.23% |
+25,428
| New | +$2.01M |
|
122
Omnicom Group
OMC
$24.1B
| $2.11M | 0.22% |
+24,412
| New | +$1.92M |
|
123
Keysight
KEYS
$55.5B
| $2.1M | 0.22% |
+13,225
| New | +$1.8M |
|
124
JD.com
JD
$38.5B
| $2.1M | 0.22% |
72,796
-49,600
| -41% | -$1.34M |
|
125
Constellation Brands
STZ
$22.4B
| $2.05M | 0.22% |
8,500
+7,584
| +828% | +$1.8M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2023, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,095 positions worth $942M, up 7.5% from $876M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $40.6M in Q4 2023, closing 391 positions and reducing 144 holdings. Its most notable exit was Palo Alto Networks, an estimated $20M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2023 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 45,200 shares worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Alibaba in Q4 2023, an estimated $20.3M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $18.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Palo Alto Networks in Q4 2023, selling an estimated $20M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $942M portfolio in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 434 new positions and closed 391 in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $942M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Feb 2024.