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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+11.62%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$409M
AUM Growth
-$44.1M
(-9.7%)
Cap. Flow
-$59.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-14.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
18.06%
Holding
781
New
279
Increased
97
Reduced
120
Closed
283
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$10.8M |
| 2 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$7.69M |
| 3 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$6.92M |
| 4 |
AbbVie
ABBV
|
+$6.78M |
| 5 |
NKLA
Nikola Corporation Common Stock
NKLA
|
+$6.58M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$49.3M |
| 2 |
Biogen
BIIB
|
+$6.69M |
| 3 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$6.42M |
| 4 |
Target
TGT
|
+$5.14M |
| 5 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$4.08M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.52% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.31% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 16% |
| 4 | Industrials | 8.7% |
| 5 | Financials | 8.37% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
CXO
101
DELISTED
CONCHO RESOURCES INC.
CXO
| $1.03M | 0.25% |
23,300
-2,300
| -9% | -$115K |
|
|
PPL
102
PPL Corp
PPL
$25.9B
| $1.02M | 0.25% |
+37,600
| New | +$1.01M |
|
103
Li Auto
LI
$11.9B
| $1.01M | 0.25% |
+58,000
| New | +$969K |
|
104
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
IJR
$111B
| $1M | 0.25% |
14,300
+3,100
| +28% | +$222K |
|
105
Trip.com Group
TCOM
$28.1B
| $1M | 0.25% |
32,200
+23,000
| +250% | +$654K |
|
|
KSU
106
DELISTED
Kansas City Southern
KSU
| $995K | 0.24% |
5,500
+300
| +6% | +$51.9K |
|
107
QuidelOrtho
QDEL
$1.05B
| $994K | 0.24% |
+4,530
| New | +$1.01M |
|
108
Mastercard
MA
$518B
| $981K | 0.24% |
+2,900
| New | +$943K |
|
109
Vistra
VST
$46.9B
| $979K | 0.24% |
51,900
+30,400
| +141% | +$573K |
|
110
AerCap
AER
$23.3B
| $976K | 0.24% |
38,734
+26,234
| +210% | +$760K |
|
111
Ralph Lauren
RL
$21B
| $968K | 0.24% |
14,239
-12,615
| -47% | -$899K |
|
112
Zillow
Z
$7.97B
| $964K | 0.24% |
9,492
-47,800
| -83% | -$3.73M |
|
113
CSX Corp
CSX
$95.5B
| $961K | 0.23% |
+37,137
| New | +$916K |
|
114
RingCentral
RNG
$5.72B
| $956K | 0.23% |
3,480
-1,545
| -31% | -$429K |
|
115
Baidu
BIDU
$32.9B
| $949K | 0.23% |
7,500
-1,758
| -19% | -$218K |
|
116
TE Connectivity
TEL
$58.8B
| $948K | 0.23% |
+9,700
| New | +$893K |
|
117
Visa
V
$709B
| $942K | 0.23% |
+4,711
| New | +$941K |
|
|
118
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$827B
| $938K | 0.23% |
2,800
-148,700
| -98% | -$49.3M |
|
119
Alphabet (Google) Class C
GOOG
$4.13T
| $936K | 0.23% |
+12,740
| New | +$972K |
|
120
Duke Energy
DUK
$94.2B
| $930K | 0.23% |
+10,500
| New | +$865K |
|
121
GoDaddy
GDDY
$12.3B
| $927K | 0.23% |
12,200
-10,900
| -47% | -$822K |
|
122
Factset
FDS
$10.8B
| $925K | 0.23% |
+2,761
| New | +$954K |
|
123
Molina Healthcare
MOH
$10.4B
| $924K | 0.23% |
+5,048
| New | +$918K |
|
124
Blackstone
BX
$108B
| $908K | 0.22% |
+17,400
| New | +$931K |
|
125
RH
RH
$2.74B
| $906K | 0.22% |
+2,368
| New | +$747K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2020 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2020, Bayesian Capital Management held 781 positions worth $409M, down 9.7% from $453M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $59.6M in Q3 2020, closing 283 positions and reducing 120 holdings. Its most notable exit was Biogen, an estimated $6.69M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 21% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Apple worth $11.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2020 buy was Apple: 99,200 shares worth $11.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Microsoft in Q3 2020, an estimated $7.69M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2020 reduction was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, cutting an estimated $49.3M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Biogen in Q3 2020, selling an estimated $6.69M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $409M portfolio in Q3 2020.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 279 new positions and closed 283 in Q3 2020.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 9.7% quarter-over-quarter to $409M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2020, filed 12 Nov 2020.