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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+1.69%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$81.9M
AUM Growth
+$38.3M
(+88%)
Cap. Flow
+$45.3M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
55.34%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
30.57%
Holding
223
New
115
Increased
13
Reduced
9
Closed
86
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$3.1M |
| 2 |
Rocket Lab Corp
RKLB
|
+$3.06M |
| 3 |
CRWV
CoreWeave
CRWV
|
+$2.71M |
| 4 |
State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
XBI
|
+$2.48M |
| 5 |
SNDK
Sandisk
SNDK
|
+$2.39M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
NVIDIA
NVDA
|
+$1.6M |
| 2 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$1.56M |
| 3 |
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
|
+$1.29M |
| 4 |
DexCom
DXCM
|
+$954K |
| 5 |
Microchip Technology
MCHP
|
+$940K |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 23.53% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.15% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 11.18% |
| 4 | Communication Services | 10.58% |
| 5 | Financials | 10.49% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
101
Dentsply Sirona
XRAY
$2.55B
| $258K | 0.31% |
+22,200
| New | +$277K |
|
102
AbbVie
ABBV
$454B
| $256K | 0.31% |
+1,177
| New | +$261K |
|
103
Paychex
PAYX
$39.4B
| $255K | 0.31% |
2,764
-2,301
| -45% | -$228K |
|
104
Cleveland-Cliffs
CLF
$6.25B
| $254K | 0.31% |
+30,100
| New | +$344K |
|
105
Arista Networks
ANET
$222B
| $249K | 0.3% |
+2,030
| New | +$272K |
|
106
Harley-Davidson
HOG
$2.79B
| $248K | 0.3% |
+12,251
| New | +$240K |
|
|
P
107
Everpure Inc
P
$25B
| $230K | 0.28% |
+3,900
| New | +$264K |
|
108
Equinox Gold
EQX
$7.33B
| $226K | 0.28% |
+15,600
| New | +$238K |
|
109
lululemon athletica
LULU
$12.6B
| $215K | 0.26% |
1,402
-1,756
| -56% | -$315K |
|
110
Wayfair
W
$10.9B
| $211K | 0.26% |
+2,800
| New | +$253K |
|
111
Fortune Brands Innovations
FBIN
$5.94B
| $210K | 0.26% |
+5,400
| New | +$281K |
|
112
Redwire
RDW
$2.22B
| $210K | 0.26% |
+24,700
| New | +$242K |
|
113
Snowflake
SNOW
$91.9B
| $207K | 0.25% |
+1,374
| New | +$254K |
|
114
Affirm
AFRM
$23.8B
| $206K | 0.25% |
+4,500
| New | +$260K |
|
115
PACCAR
PCAR
$68.8B
| $205K | 0.25% |
+1,771
| New | +$214K |
|
116
STMicroelectronics
STM
$47.7B
| $204K | 0.25% |
5,900
-3,719
| -39% | -$116K |
|
117
Ryanair
RYAAY
$29.3B
| $204K | 0.25% |
+3,522
| New | +$232K |
|
118
CVS Health
CVS
$136B
| $201K | 0.25% |
2,801
-4,447
| -61% | -$343K |
|
119
Qfin Holdings
QFIN
$1.6B
| $180K | 0.22% |
+13,977
| New | +$215K |
|
120
Oscar Health
OSCR
$8.72B
| $166K | 0.2% |
14,500
-5,700
| -28% | -$80.3K |
|
121
Sigma Lithium
SGML
$1.12B
| $162K | 0.2% |
+13,100
| New | +$168K |
|
122
SoundHound AI
SOUN
$2.71B
| $159K | 0.19% |
+23,100
| New | +$199K |
|
123
Precigen
PGEN
$1.98B
| $153K | 0.19% |
+39,600
| New | +$162K |
|
124
Graphic Packaging
GPK
$3.25B
| $147K | 0.18% |
+14,800
| New | +$186K |
|
125
Upwork
UPWK
$1.08B
| $138K | 0.17% |
+12,600
| New | +$198K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2026 Portfolio in Review
As of Q1 2026, Bayesian Capital Management held 223 positions worth $81.9M, up 88% from $43.6M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 31% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management deployed $45.3M of net new capital in Q1 2026, opening 115 new positions and adding to 13 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Nike: 51,100 shares worth $2.7M.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 24% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
On the sell side, the largest reduction was Netflix, an estimated $441K trimmed.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2026 buy was Nike: 51,100 shares worth $2.7M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Meta Platforms (Facebook) in Q1 2026, an estimated $2.11M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2026 reduction was Netflix, cutting an estimated $441K.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited NVIDIA in Q1 2026, selling an estimated $1.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 31% of its $81.9M portfolio in Q1 2026.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 115 new positions and closed 86 in Q1 2026.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 88% quarter-over-quarter to $81.9M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2026, filed 15 May 2026.