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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
Turnover
90.24%
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+7.46%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.1%
AUM
$156M
AUM Growth
+$74.4M
(+91%)
Cap. Flow
+$78.8M
Cap. Flow % of AUM
Cap. Flow %
50.43%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
25.26%
Holding
328
New
191
Increased
20
Reduced
12
Closed
105
Avg Time Held
0
years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$8.52M |
| 2 |
NVIDIA
NVDA
|
+$6.41M |
| 3 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$5.76M |
| 4 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$3.56M |
| 5 |
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
|
+$3.44M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sandisk
SNDK
|
+$5.33M |
| 2 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$2.87M |
| 3 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$2.69M |
| 4 |
Rocket Lab Corp
RKLB
|
+$2.61M |
| 5 |
State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
XBI
|
+$2.54M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 27.57% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.88% |
| 3 | Financials | 11.54% |
| 4 | Healthcare | 9.13% |
| 5 | Materials | 6.89% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | Held Since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76
Carnival Corporation Ltd
CCL
$36.4B
| $563K | 0.36% |
+19,700
| New | +$538K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
77
EchoStar
ECHO
$24.9B
| $558K | 0.36% |
+5,500
| New | +$672K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
78
Tesla
TSLA
$1.48T
| $547K | 0.35% |
1,300
-2,100
| -62% | -$835K |
2026 Q1
1 quarter
|
|
79
HSBC
HSBC
$314B
| $541K | 0.35% |
+5,686
| New | +$519K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
80
Vishay Intertechnology
VSH
$4.15B
| $527K | 0.34% |
+9,793
| New | +$401K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
81
Albemarle
ALB
$10.9B
| $520K | 0.33% |
+3,848
| New | +$679K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
82
JD.com
JD
$34.7B
| $515K | 0.33% |
+20,200
| New | +$595K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
83
Nasdaq
NDAQ
$57.7B
| $514K | 0.33% |
+6,522
| New | +$572K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
84
RTX Corp
RTX
$263B
| $512K | 0.33% |
+2,700
| New | +$495K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
85
Cboe Global Markets
CBOE
$34.2B
| $510K | 0.33% |
+2,101
| New | +$643K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
86
DocuSign
DOCU
$15.8B
| $508K | 0.33% |
+11,444
| New | +$536K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
87
United Parcel Service
UPS
$86.4B
| $505K | 0.32% |
+4,700
| New | +$489K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
88
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals
REGN
$84.3B
| $504K | 0.32% |
+808
| New | +$550K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
|
HONA
89
Honeywell Aerospace
HONA
$51.7B
| $497K | 0.32% |
+2,250
| New | +$496K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
90
On Holding
ONON
$11.4B
| $489K | 0.31% |
+13,800
| New | +$504K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
91
Pinduoduo
PDD
$113B
| $488K | 0.31% |
+6,400
| New | +$591K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
92
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited
TEVA
$46.9B
| $481K | 0.31% |
+14,200
| New | +$473K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
93
Dynex Capital
DX
$2.74B
| $480K | 0.31% |
+36,600
| New | +$481K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
94
Yum! Brands
YUM
$42.1B
| $480K | 0.31% |
+3,000
| New | +$465K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
95
APA Corp
APA
$17.3B
| $475K | 0.3% |
+14,588
| New | +$548K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
96
Cleveland-Cliffs
CLF
$7.45B
| $461K | 0.29% |
49,100
+19,000
| +63% | +$209K |
2026 Q1
1 quarter
|
|
97
Hecla Mining
HL
$9.48B
| $455K | 0.29% |
29,500
+15,000
| +103% | +$263K |
2026 Q1
1 quarter
|
|
98
Viavi Solutions
VIAV
$7.45B
| $444K | 0.28% |
+9,300
| New | +$446K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
99
Valero Energy
VLO
$123B
| $443K | 0.28% |
+1,700
| New | +$419K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
100
Centene
CNC
$35.2B
| $438K | 0.28% |
6,824
-2,876
| -30% | -$154K |
2026 Q1
1 quarter
|
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q2 2026 Portfolio in Review
As of Q2 2026, Bayesian Capital Management held 328 positions worth $156M, up 91% from $81.9M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 25% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management deployed $78.8M of net new capital in Q2 2026, opening 191 new positions and adding to 20 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Alibaba: 67,999 shares worth $6.53M.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 28% of assets, up from 24% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Financials.
On the sell side, the largest reduction was Sandisk, an estimated $5.33M trimmed.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q2 2026 buy was Alibaba: 67,999 shares worth $6.53M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Oracle in Q2 2026, an estimated $5.76M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q2 2026 reduction was Sandisk, cutting an estimated $5.33M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited ExxonMobil in Q2 2026, selling an estimated $2.87M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 25% of its $156M portfolio in Q2 2026.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 191 new positions and closed 105 in Q2 2026.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 91% quarter-over-quarter to $156M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q2 2026, filed 14 Aug 2026.