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Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.97%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
WDFC icon
1026
WD-40
WDFC
$2.94B
– –
-1,406
Closed -$363K
WEC icon
1027
WEC Energy
WEC
$34.6B
– –
-2,600
Closed -$250K
WFRD icon
1028
Weatherford International
WFRD
$6.59B
– –
-10,937
Closed -$929K
WHR icon
1029
Whirlpool
WHR
$2.59B
– –
-17,500
Closed -$1.87M
WIT icon
1030
Wipro
WIT
$17.8B
– –
-20,600
Closed -$66.7K
WMG icon
1031
Warner Music
WMG
$14.7B
– –
-10,900
Closed -$341K
WRB icon
1032
W.R. Berkley
WRB
$25.4B
– –
-9,505
Closed -$539K
WTFC icon
1033
Wintrust Financial
WTFC
$10.3B
– –
-2,408
Closed -$261K
WVE icon
1034
Wave Life Sciences
WVE
$1.02B
– –
-12,701
Closed -$104K
WYNN icon
1035
Wynn Resorts
WYNN
$9.64B
– –
-3,200
Closed -$307K
XEL icon
1036
Xcel Energy
XEL
$48.2B
– –
-49,200
Closed -$3.21M
XFOR icon
1037
X4 Pharmaceuticals
XFOR
$419M
– –
-1,280
Closed -$25.7K
XLE icon
1038
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLE
$40.9B
– –
-12,000
Closed -$527K
XLU icon
1039
State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLU
$22.2B
– –
-6,000
Closed -$242K
XLY icon
1040
State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLY
$22.8B
– –
-6,934
Closed -$695K
XOP icon
1041
State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
XOP
$3.77B
– –
-5,391
Closed -$709K
XP icon
1042
XP
XP
$8.97B
– –
-106,600
Closed -$1.91M
XPEL icon
1043
XPEL
XPEL
$1.4B
– –
-10,100
Closed -$438K
XRT icon
1044
State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF
XRT
$320M
– –
-2,638
Closed -$205K
YEXT icon
1045
Yext
YEXT
$678M
– –
-41,400
Closed -$286K
YOU icon
1046
Clear Secure
YOU
$4.54B
– –
-32,100
Closed -$1.06M
YUMC icon
1047
Yum China
YUMC
$15.3B
– –
-15,800
Closed -$711K
GTM
1048
ZoomInfo Technologies
GTM
$1.19B
– –
-57,000
Closed -$588K
ZIM icon
1049
ZIM Integrated Shipping Services
ZIM
$3.36B
– –
-50,800
Closed -$1.3M
ZTS icon
1050
Zoetis
ZTS
$31B
– –
-5,400
Closed -$1.06M
39 40 41
42
43

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AFW
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ADBIC
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HSM
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FWM
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PIA
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CCP
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.